Pick #1 – Los Angeles Angels at Tampa Bay Rays
The game were looking to get action down on tonight is the Los Angeles Angels (34-50) versus the Tampa Bay Rays (34-49) who are each some of the hottest teams in baseball right now both looking to get back on the trail towards .500. One of our best outcome indicators is in full swing on this pick as we have already seen the spread total for this MLB hop from 8.5 to 9 giving us every signal that the savvy money is on the OVER today in this spot. Jumping right into some of the other vital trends we notice that the The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games highlughting the fact at just how well the Angels have been hitting the ball lately. These next stats are yet another highlight of just how great of a matchup specific run in we get tonight as the total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing at home against LA Angels. These are highly favorable featured trends that all point to the OVER when evaluating tonights potential pick. These two teams ran against each other just yesterday resulting in a 13-5 Angeles romp. The Tampa Bay Rays will most likely look to make a home comeback statement of their own today by putting up an equally impressive amou of runs and the public consensus seems to agree as this MLB total over/under spread is now reching a whopping 76% at the time of this MLB over/under team total review. The Los Angeles Angels produce 4.5 runs this year and the Rays show up with 4.04 runs on average for the season so we are already approaching the OVER nicely if just the status quo in terms of runs play out. While park factor for this game is a little on the low side at a -89 rating we still have to love the way these teams are hitting lately. The weather at Tropicana Field is looking like 89°F, Sunny , Humidity is 77% and a Wind East-southeast 2 mph so very nice co ditions for the bats to come alive. Another factor we have to really like that points to the OVER in this contest is the fact that the Angels have an uncertain bullpen so if the Rays can get past J. Weaver (R) which should not be an issue then there should be plenty of runs to pick up in later innings off the Los Angeles relief. A final and most important point to this lean is the fact that starting pitcher J. Weaver (R) is pitching very questionably as of late with a 7 day ERA of 10.31 and an on the road ERA of 4.74. He also shighly truggles with right handed hitting giving up a high .311 batting average to hitters (6/9 RH hitters on Rays tonight) which should pose problems for him against the Rays. Also D. Smyly (L) has posted a 5.40 ERA in his last week of pitching while giving it up more to right handed hitters as well (8/9 LH hitters on Angels). The computer predicted score for this matchup is 11.6 so lets stick with the OVER at 9 and feel good about this win coming to fruition. Game Time: Los Angeles Angels at Tampa Bay Rays - Wednesday, July 06, 2016 7:10 PM Spread: 921 Los Angeles Angels +1½ -150 +143 922 Tampa Bay Rays -1½ +130 -153 Total: 921 Los Angeles Angels Over 9 -105 922 Tampa Bay Rays Under 9 -115 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 9 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals
Happy 4th of July to everyone! The game were targeting this afternoon is the Pittsburgh Pirates (41-41) versus the St. Louis Cardinals (43-38) who both are in the top of the scoring ranges in the National League this year. Right off the bat (pun intended) we see one of best indicators for results as the smart money has now pushed the total over/under spread for this MLB game from an 8 to an 8.5 giving us every signal that the smart bettors are on the OVER today. Diving right into some of other vital stats we see that the total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games. These next numbers showcase just how great of a matchup specific contest we get today as the total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh and the total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh. These are very enticing draws towards the OVER that we should highly consider when formulating our plays today. Last time these two teams met was June 12th with a final score of 8-3 with Niese also as a pitcher so these teams can clearly put up runs in these scenarios and the public consensus today agrees as this MLB total is peaking at around 65% at the time of writing. The Pittsburgh Pirates produce 4.65 runs this year and the create a nice 5.25 runs on average for the season so we hit the OVER very easily simply on averages run output alone. The park factor for this game is is a not that stellar -90 but we do get a very nice breeze out to left field which should cause trouble for the pitching. The weather at Busch Stadium is looking like 76°F, Mostly Sunny , Humidity is 86% and Wind is NW 9 mph so nice conditions for the bats to come alive. Another factor we have to really like that side with the OVER in this one is the fact that the Cardinals have an extremely volatile bullpen currently so if the Pirates can get through C. Martinez (R) there should be plenty of runs to be had in the later innings. A final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher J. Niese (L) is pitching questionably as of late with a 7 day ERA of 7.71 and an on the road ERA of 5.32. He also struggles mightily with right handed hitting (8/9 RH hitters in the Cardinal lineup today) which should pose serious issues for him against St. Louis. Also the Cardinals starting pitcher C. Martinez actually pitches way worse at home with a 3.74 ERA. The combined computer predicted score for this matchup is 9 so lets trust in the OVER at 8.5 and take home a nice victory today. Game Time: Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals - Monday, July 04, 2016 2:15 PM Spread: 903 Pittsburgh Pirates +1½ -125 +183 Over 8½ +100 904 St. Louis Cardinals -1½ +105 -195 Under 8½ -120 Total: 903 Pittsburgh Pirates Over 8½ +100 904 St. Louis Cardinals Under 8½ -120 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 8.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox
The game were firing at tonight is the Los Angeles Angels (32-47) versus the Boston Red Sox (42-36) who both have a propensity to produce when facing Boston at home. Right out of the gate we see one of our favorite markers moving the preference needles as the total over/under spread for this MLB game opened at 9.5 and has now creeped up to 10 giving us every impression that the savvy bettors are on the OVER today in this one. Delving into some of the other key trends we notice that the total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games and the The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games so both these teams are clearly giving up and getting runs at a high frequency. These next numbers display just how great of a matchup specific set we get tonight as the total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 12 games when playing at home against LA Angels. These are highly favorable leans towards the OVER that we should really feel confident about in tonights selection. About a half a week ago these two teams played a double header resulting in a 3-7 score in game one and a 1-11 score in game two so these teams can clearly easily put up these types of numbers and the public consensus today agrees as this MLB is hitting at 62% currently. The Los Angeles Angels produce 4.22 runs this year and the Red Sox show up with 5.56 runs on average for the season so we get to the OVER based on basic averages alone. The park factor for this game is out of this world with a +101 rating, A Gold Star hitter rating and a nice strong 18 mph breeze out to left center. The weather at Fenway Park is looking like 98°F, Mostly Sunny, Humidity is 43% , Wind is SSW 16-18 mph. Another factor we have to really like that points to the OVER in this one is the fact that the Angels have been having a questionable bullpen so if the Red Sox can get through J. Chacin (R) which should not be a problem and it could get ugly quick. A final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher J. Chacin (R) is pitching questionably as of late with a 7 day ERA of 7.71 and an on the road ERA of 6.02. He also shighly truggles with right handed hitting (5/9 RH hitters on Red Sox tonight) which should pose problems for him against the Red Sox. Also S. Wright (R) has posted a 5.79 ERA in his last week of hurling while giving it up more to right handed hitters as well (6/9 LH hitters on Angels). The computer predicted score for this matchup is 11.7 so lets roll with the OVER at 10 and hopefully pull out yet another win. Game Time: Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox - Friday, July 01, 2016 7:10 PM Spread: 967 Los Angeles Angels +1½ +100 +195 968 Boston Red Sox -1½ -120 -215 Total: 967 Los Angeles Angels Over 10 -105 968 Boston Red Sox Under 10 -115 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: OVER 10 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt |
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