Pick #1 – San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres
The game were keeping an eye on tonight when it comes to wagering is the San Francisco Giants (57-33) versus the San Diego Padres (38-51) in which we get a top tier contender versus a team that is starting to heat up. One of our best betting tells leads this prediction off as we see the over/under spread total for this MLB friday night game go from 7 to 7.5 sending us strong signals as to where this pick is headed. Looking at some of the other essential stats to support this line movement we notice that the total has gone OVER in 16 of San Diego's last 23 games. In addition to this the total has gone OVER in 9 of San Diego's last 10 games at home so were seeing a nice situational play being set up here and especially with an All Star week rested Padres team headed back to Pet Co. The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road so as noted were getting a very nice trend set up in our favor here. These are highly favorable terms that all point to the OVER when evaluating tonight's potential pick and with the Giants not having to travel far and the bats well rested we should see some serious offense tonight. The last time Andrew Cashner (R) pitched against the Giants they put up runs and we should see lots more of the same tonight. The San Diego Padres will most likely look to make a home comeback statement of their own today by putting up an equally impressive amount of runs. The public consensus still seems a bit up in the air on this one at a 45/55% split against the OVER but we still have to love our side given all the factors we have going for us tonight. The San Francisco Giants produce 4.71 runs this year and the Padres show up with 4.42 runs on average for the season so we are already crush the OVER easily just in terms of basics averages or production. While park factor for this game is a little on the low side at a -86 rating we still get a lovely 4 – 7 mph breeze out to right center which should do wonders for our scoring chances. The weather at Petco Park is looking like 67°F, Mostly Sunny , Humidity is 84% , Wind is SW 6 mph so there should be no issues with getting runners on base in such great conditions to hit. Another factor we have to really like that points to the OVER in this contest is the fact that the Padres have an uncertain bullpen so if the Giants can get past A. Cashner (R) which should not be a problem at all then there should be plenty of runs to pick up in later innings off San Diego's shakey relief. A final and most important point to this lean is the fact that starting pitcher A. Cashner (R) is pitching very questionably as of late with a 7 day ERA of 27.00 and a July ERA of 9.35. Also M. Bumgarner (L) gets hit well by right handed hitters so there should be opportunities for runs being scored from both sides (8/9 RH hitters on Padres). The computer predicted score for this match up is 7.9 so lets stick with the OVER at 7.5 and feel good about this win coming out in our favor.
San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres - Friday, July 15, 2016 10:40 PM
963 San Francisco Giants -1½ -130 -193
964 San Diego Padres +1½ +110 +182
963 San Francisco Giants Over 7½ +100
964 San Diego Padres Under 7½ -120
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
OVER 7.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
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