MLB Picks Wednesday 7/20/2016 – TEX vs. LAA

Pick #1 – Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels​

The contest we are going to attack tonight is the Texas Rangers (55-40) versus the Los Angeles Angels (42-52) and its a tale of one team surging while the other plays catch up to .500. This bet really jumps out at us straight from the start as the smart money has already pushed the opening over/under line from 8.5 to 9. The strength of the wager becomes even more clear once we start to review key stats such as the total has gone OVER in 11 of LA Angels's last 16 games at home. In addition to this the total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Texas so these two teams really love to score when they come together to battle. When these two teams played their last game which was yesterday the score was 6-8 leaving little doubt about how hot the bats of both teams are currently. The Rangers and Angels both look to stay hot with the bats and the public consensus seems to feel the same way as they have this MLB total spread at one of the highest you will ever see at 80% confidence on the OVER. The Texas Rangers produce 4.83 runs this year and the Los Angeles Angels show up with 4.64 runs on average for the season so we easily make the OVER just from getting standard games by both teams. The park factor reading for this game is not that great at -86 but these two teams having been putting up serious numbers in Southern Cali over the last few days and with nice conditions and 4 MPH blowing out o dead center and we have to think we are setting up for another explosive night from the offenses. The weather at The Big A is looking like 73°F, Sunny , Humidity is 91% and with a Wind to the South-southeast at 2 mph so the bats have every reason to come alive. Another stat we have to feel solid about that points to the OVER in this contest is the fact that the Angels have very questionable relief staff as of late so if the Rangers can drive past H. Santiago (L) they should get a lot of favorable batting matchups late in the game. A final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher M. Perez (L) has been doing very poor lately showcasing a 7.56 July ERA. He also struggles mightly with right handed hitting giving up a .290 batting average to hitters (8/9 RH hitters on Angels tonight) which should pose problems for him. Also H. Santiago (L) does not fare well against Teas this year hlding a 7.07 ERA and gets hits by left handed hitters to thet une of a mediocre .245 batting average against (4/9 LH hitters on Rangers). The computer predicted score for this matchup is 7.7 and we have to think it has missed some variables as based on the above the OVER 9 is looking extremely promising in this scenario so lets grab it at that and take home a win.

Game Time:
Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels - Wednesday, July 20, 2016 10:10 PM

Spread:
923 Texas Rangers +1½ -170 +120
924 Los Angeles Angels -1½ +150 -130

Total:
923 Texas Rangers Over 9 -110
924 Los Angeles Angels Under 9 -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
OVER 9 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt