MLB Picks Wednesday 7/27/2016 – ATL vs. MIN

Pick #1 – Atlanta Braves at Minnesota Twins​

The game were breaking down tonight is the Atlanta Braves (34-66) versus the Minnesota Twins (37-66) should be a battle of two terrible two teams not producing much and not playing for much either. Are eyes are wide as we see that the sharp money has already moved this from a 9 over/under total for this MLB game down a half notch to an 8.5 giving us a sure signal this has a strong to go UNDER. Moving right into some of the key stats for this game we note that the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games and the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home so all trends point to no run production in this one. In addition to this the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road and the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing Minnesota and the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta so every angle about this matchup specific setup has this one going only one way. When these two teams played yesterday the score was 2-0 Atalanta further solidifying are confidence about where this bet is headed. Both teams look to continue their abysmal ways and the public consensus seems to feel the same way as this MLB total spread is making waves on the leaderboard with a 79% push towards the UNDER. The Minnesota Twins produce 4.39 runs this year and the Atlanta Braves show up with 3.37 runs on average for the season so the averages alone have this UNDER looking very favorable. The park factor for this game is also has an appealing -96 rating so ideal conditions for the bats to be shutdown and the pitchers to excel. The weather at Target Field is looking like 83°F, Mostly Sunny, Humidity is 79%, and Wind is S 4 mph so very nice setup for lockdown pitching. A final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher M. Foltynewicz (R) has been pitching very well in July with a solid 3.91 ERA on the month. He also just smokes past right handed hitting giving up a miniscule .248 batting average (6/9 RH hitters on Minnesota tonight) which should make his outing that much easier. Also T. Duffey (R) fares very well against left handed hitters at a rate of a .269 batting average which bodes well in tonights matchup (6/9 LH hitters on the Braves). The computer predicted score for this matchup is 8.8 so no big prediction output in this spot and we have to good about getting the UNDER here at 8.5 which should take us home to victory.

Game Time:
Atlanta Braves at Minnesota Twins - Wednesday, July 27, 2016 8:10 PM

Spread:
979 Atlanta Braves +1½ -135 +158
980 Minnesota Twins -1½ +115 -168

Total:
979 Atlanta Braves Over 8½ -115
980 Minnesota Twins Under 8½ -105

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 8.5 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt