Pick #1 – Milwaukee Bucks at Brooklyn Nets
Its the middle of the week and if you are looking for something to help get you to the weekend then why not sit back and relax to some NBA basketball and tonight gives us a great card as we focus in on the Milwaukee Bucks (24-30) versus the Brooklyn Nets (9-46) which gives us too struggling teams that are having trouble finding their identity and offenses lately. This play starts off with the exact characteristics we want to see as a 220 OVER/UNDER opening line has now been trimmed down to a 219 over / under revealing exactly what side the sharp bettors are taking. Dissecting the match up even further we take note that the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 8 games and the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 8 games at home so while being the fastest team in the league it is quit clear a recent adjustment has changed this playing style. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 210.35 and 218.99 and we get that oh so valuable scenario where both averages take us to our UNDER goal even at the peak levels of performance. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 63–45-1 and so we should fully expect an extreme regression back to a .500 record making the OVER play yet another great value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Milwaukee is 21 and Brooklyn is 1 and we will gladly take this high UNDER as Milwaukee being the much better will control pace and bring this into the lower third of the NBA realm of offensive production. We also note that the Bucks are 20 in possessions per game (dropping drastically as of late) and the Nets are the number 1 team in the league (sinking currently at a serious pace) so once again we get two teams that are not performing as optimally offensively as they once were (Bucks just recently lost one of their best player to injury). The public consensus for this game is 61% in favor of the UNDER so we will see how this general agreement plays out. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 214.5 so a 219 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and even coincides well with AI predictor brain. Game Time: Milwaukee Bucks at Brooklyn Nets - Wednesday, February 15, 2017 7:35 PM Spread: 507 Milwaukee Bucks -6 -110 -225 508 Brooklyn Nets +6 -110 +185 Total: 507 Milwaukee Bucks Over 218½ -110 508 Brooklyn Nets Under 218½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 219 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Boston Celtics at Dallas Mavericks
Its just another magic Monday and no better way to start off the week then with some NBA basketball and tonight we dial in on the Boston Celtics (35-19) versus the Dallas Mavericks (22-32) which gives a hot team against one that is struggling to get back on track. This wager starts of well as a 209 OVER/UNDER opening line has now shrunk down to a 208.5 over / under (been as low as 207.5) highlighting exactly what side the smart bettors are taking. Dissecting the match up even further we take note that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games and the total has gone UNDER in 13 of Boston's last 18 games when playing on the road against Dallas so we get the better team not playing slow right now but also historically against this specific opponent as well. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 206.52 and 205.98 and we get that oh so valuable scenario where both averages take us to our UNDER goal even at maximum performance levels. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 54–53-1 and we are right in the midst of the stats reversing back to dead even on the UNDER picking up a nicely trending value spot for us. When it comes to pace of play Boston is 18 and Dallas is 29 and we will gladly take this high UNDER from two teams that are almost the bottom half of the league it comes offensive speed. We also note that the Celtics are 17 in posessions per game (dropping drastically as of late) and the Mavericks are the number 29 team in the league so once again two teams this low on the list simply do not justify this high of a total and we get a Dallas team controling the pace at home who is pretty much slowest in the entire league. The public consensus for this game is 73% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this spot also. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 210 so a 20.8 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite being slighty off from the AI predictor brain. Game Time: Boston Celtics at Dallas Mavericks - Monday, February 13, 2017 8:35 PM Spread: 513 Boston Celtics -2 -110 -130 514 Dallas Mavericks +2 -110 +110 Total: 513 Boston Celtics Over 208½ -110 514 Dallas Mavericks Under 208½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 208.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – San Antonio Spurs at Detroit Pistons
The weekend is upon us making time for some rest, relaxation and NBA basketball and tonight we focus in on the San Antonio Spurs (40-12) versus the Detroit Pistons (25-28) which pits the very good versus the very mediocre. This bet catches our attention from the start as a 210.5 OVER/UNDER opening line has now shrunk down to a 209 over / under revealing exactly what side the sharp dollars are pouring in on. Dissecting the match up even further we take note that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games highlighting that they are focusing on that same slow style of play that they are known for. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 208.74 and 200.66 and we get that rare set up that reveals tons of value when both averages get us to our UNDER goal even at maximum efficiency. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 58–47 so we should fully expect reversal back to the mean on the UNDER happening sooner then later and this gives us yet another promising scenario where key factors are weighing in our favor. When it comes to pace of play San Antonio is 26 and Detroit is 24 and we will gladly take this high UNDER from two teams that are almost dead last in the league when it comes offensive speed. We also note that the Spurs are 27 in possessions per game (dropping drastically as of late) and the Pistons are the number 26 team in the league so once again two teams this low on the list simply do not justify this high of a total. The public consensus for this game is 53% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this spot also. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 206.5 so a 209 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and we get the AI predictor brain siding with us as well which is always nice. Game Time: San Antonio Spurs at Detroit Pistons - Friday, February 10, 2017 7:35 PM Spread: 853 San Antonio Spurs -4½ -110 -175 854 Detroit Pistons +4½ -110 +155 Total: 853 San Antonio Spurs Over 209 -110 854 Detroit Pistons Under 209 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 209 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks
its Wednesday and that means were on the middle of the week grind making it a perfect evening to kick back and relax to some NBA basketball and tonight we set our sights on the Miami Heat (22-30) versus the Toronto Raptors (22-28) which sets us up for struggling teams headed into battle. This wager looks enticing from the beginning as a 210 OVER/UNDER opening line has now dropped down to a 208 over / under revealing exactly where the sharp money is heading. Breaking down the contest even further we see that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games on the road so the are just no producing offensively on the road lately playing right into our favor. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 205.97 and 207.25 and we get that perfect scenario we love to see where both averages get us to our UNDER goal. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 56–46 so we should fully expect a draw back to the mean on the UNDER happening sooner then later and we will take every bit of that value tonight. When it comes to pace of play Miami is 22 and Milwaukee is 20 and we will gladly take this high UNDER from two teams in the bottom 3rd of total teams in the NBA when it comes offensive speed. We also note that the Heat are 22 in possessions per game and the Bucks are the number 20 team in the league so once again two teams this low on the charts simply do not deserve this high of a total. The public consensus for this game is 70% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this spot. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 212.8 so a 208 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite being slightly off from the AI predictor brain. Game Time: Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks - Wednesday, February 08, 2017 8:05 PM Spread: 511 Miami Heat +4 -110 +155 512 Milwaukee Bucks -4 -110 -175 Total: 511 Miami Heat Over 208 -110 512 Milwaukee Bucks Under 208 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 208 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Los Angeles Clippers at Toronto Raptors
New Monday and that means a fresh start after a wild and spectacular Super Bowl its time to get back into the NBA basketball as we plan to laser in on the Los Angeles Clippers (31-20) versus the Toronto Raptors (31-21) which pits two very even teams dealing with some injuries and both coming off back to backs which should give us a much slower game then usual. This bet gets off on the right foot as a 216 OVER/UNDER opening line has now been whittled down to a 213.5 over / under exposing what side the savvy money is picking in this spot. Breaking down the contest even further we see that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games which gives us a home team favorite that should control the pace of play which is a great sign for this UNDER bet. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 217.33 and 209.21 and we are going to bank on the defensive side and injuries to star players here to bring this UNDER home. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 58–44-1 so we should fully expect a regression back to the mean on the UNDER happening frequently which sets up a nice over correction in our favor. When it comes to pace of play Los Angeles is 16 and Toronto is 21 and its always nice to get an UNDER play on a high total from two bottom of league teams in terms of pace of play. We also note that the Clippers are 18 in possessions per game and the Raptors are the number 21 team in the league (and dropping) so once again two teams this low on the charts simply do not deserve this high of a total. The public consensus for this game is 66% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 218 so a 213.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite being slightly off from the AI predictor brain. Game Time: Los Angeles Clippers at Toronto Raptors - Monday, February 06, 2017 7:35 PM Spread: 507 Los Angeles Clippers +5 -110 +175 508 Toronto Raptors -5 -110 -210 Total: 507 Los Angeles Clippers Over 213½ -110 508 Toronto Raptors Under 213½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 213.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Milwaukee Bucks at Denver Nuggets
The weekend is finally here and that means hopefully we all get a little time off work to enjoy some NBA basketball and tonight we are going to relax while watching the Milwaukee Bucks (21-27) take on the Denver Nuggets (21-27) which should be a battle of the Mediocre which always bodes well for a nice UNDER play. This bet gets off on the right foot as a 225 OVER/UNDER opening line has now shrunk down to a 224 over / under exposing what side the sharp money is pouring in on. Breaking down the contest even further we see that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road making it pretty clear the the Bucks have not been performing well while traveling lately. Just as promising the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee so these two teams are certainly no stranger to playing a slower game of basketball against each other. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 214.58 and 216.08 and we get our dream spot where the current recent averages simply do not justify at all such a high total. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 64–31-1 so we should fully expect a regression back to the mean towards the UNDER happening soon opening up a nice over corrected value spot for us. When it comes to pace of play Milwaukee is 21 and Denver is 5 making this UNDER a super strong play as anytime we get a team out of the top 20 with such a high total we have to be licking our chops. We also note that the Bucks are 21 in possessions per game and the Nuggets are the number 5 team in the league so one again a team out of the top simply does not deserve this high of a total. The public consensus for this game is 73% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 217 so a 224 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and the AI predictor brain could not agree more. Game Time: Milwaukee Bucks at Denver Nuggets - Friday, February 03, 2017 9:05 PM Spread: 863 Milwaukee Bucks +3.5 -110 +110 864 Denver Nuggets -3.5 -110 -130 Total: 863 Milwaukee Bucks Over 224 -110 864 Denver Nuggets Under 224 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 224 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Indiana Pacers at Orlando Magic
First day of February and its the month of love and we have certainly taken an affection towards the NBA basketball game that is the Indiana Pacers (25-22) versus the Orlando Magic (19-31) which presents a very interesting UNDER opportunity. This bet shapes up nicely from the get go as a 214 OVER/UNDER opening line has now shrunk down to a 212.5 over / under revealing exactly where where the smart money is siding. Breaking down the contest even further we see that the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games so its pretty clear success for this dominating team is coming from keeping a slower pace. Just as promising the total has gone OVER in 7 of Orlando's last 10 games making it very clear that both these teams are simply not producing offensively like the books expect. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 206.06 and 212.28 and giving us that rare value spot where the averages do not justify the total. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 50–46-1 so we should fully expect a regression back to the mean towards the UNDER happening soon making a prime spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Indiana is 11 and Orlando is 19 making this UNDER giving us two teams out of the top ten and a super slow home team which leaves little doubt on the table about a lack of offensive opportunities tonight. We also note that the Pacers are 12 in possessions per game (trending down) and the Magic are the number 19 team in the league so one again we get two teams that are favoring the slower side of basketball right now. The public consensus for this game is 61% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 213 so a 212.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite being slightly off from the AI predictor brain.. Game Time: Indiana Pacers at Orlando Magic - Wednesday, February 01, 2017 7:05 PM Spread: 503 Indiana Pacers -2 -110 -130 504 Orlando Magic +2 -110 +110 Total: 503 Indiana Pacers Over 212½ -110 504 Orlando Magic Under 212½ -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 212.5 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Memphis Grizzlies at Phoenix Suns
Hope the week is starting off amazing for everyone and it should get even better as we are gifted with the chance to watch some NBA basketball as the Memphis Grizzlies (28-21) take the Phoenix Suns (15-32) which is a current tale of really good versus really bad. This pick starts off in our favorite type of light as the savvy money is already moving this 210 OVER/UNDER opening line down to a 208 over / under giving us a lead reason to believe this has nothing but the UNDER written all over it. Breaking down the contest even further we see that the total has gone UNDER in 9 of Memphis's last 11 games when playing on the road against Phoenix so its nice to have a solid historical foundation of paced down basketball between these two. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 206.52 and 211.63 and its the lack of offense combined with an extremely tough defense that should easily take us home here. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 54–41-1 so we should fully expect a regression back to the mean towards the UNDER happening soon and we always love to wind up where numbers should be merging more appropriately. When it comes to pace of play Memphis is 28 and Toronto is 3 making this UNDER play an extremely nice look as we get an UNDER where the much better team should be able to control the game enough that it follows a Memphis slowed down style of basketball. We also note that the Grizzlies are 26 in possessions per game (also currently trending down at an unheard of rate) and the Suns are the number 3 team in the league (dropping as well as of late) so one again we get one of slowest teams in league playing even slower in a matchup they should completely control which highly favors our UNDER position. The public consensus for this game is 69% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 215 so a 208 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite being slightly off from the AI predictor brain.. Game Time: Memphis Grizzlies at Phoenix Suns - Monday, January 30, 2017 10:35 PM Spread: 509 Memphis Grizzlies -3½ -110 -165 510 Phoenix Suns +3½ -110 +145 Total: 509 Memphis Grizzlies Over 208 -110 510 Phoenix Suns Under 208 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 208 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Milwaukee Bucks at Toronto Raptors
Last weekend of January 2017 and its the perfect night to take in some NBA basketball and we have our eyes on the Milwaukee Bucks (21-24) versus the Toronto Raptors (28-18) which serves up a nice game where Toronto will be missing one of their best offensive players. This pick starts off very appealing as the sharp money is already moving this 215 OVER/UNDER opening line down to a 213 over / under giving us a strong initial lead on where this bet is headed. Breaking down the matchup further we see that the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing Milwaukee so its nice to get a recent history of slowed down basketball between these two. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 214.76 and 209.36 and one again we get a high total match up against averages that are not justifiable. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 57–33-1 so we should fully expect a regression back to the mean towards the UNDER happening soon and we always love to wind up in this type of fade spot. When it comes to pace of play Milwaukee is 21 and Toronto is 20 making this UNDER play an extremely nice look as we get an UNDER lean on two teams at the bottom 3rd of the league in offensive prowess. We also note that the Bucks are 21 in possessions per game and the Raptors are the number 20 team in the league so there should be plenty of paced down basketball here. The public consensus for this game is 67% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 214 so a 213 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and AI brain could not agree more. Game Time: Milwaukee Bucks at Toronto Raptors - Friday, January 27, 2017 7:35 PM Spread: 855 Milwaukee Bucks +5 -110 +180 856 Toronto Raptors -5 -110 -220 Total: 855 Milwaukee Bucks Over 213 -110 856 Toronto Raptors Under 213 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 213 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt Pick #1 – Los Angeles Lakers at Portland Trail Blazers
Huge 10 game slate in NBA basketball tonight and our favorite game is looking like its the Los Angeles Lakers (16-32) versus the Portland Trail Blazers (19-27) setting the stage for two mediocre teams to do battle. This pick starts off strong as the smart money is already moving this 226 OVER/UNDER opening line down to a 220 over / under giving us a nice hint as to where this bet should be heading. Breaking down the matchup further we see that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games highlighting the fact that the Lakers are simply not playing at there usual pace. In addition to this the total has gone UNDER in 7 of Portland's last 10 games at home and again we get a team showing signs that they are slowing it up as of late. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 211.58 and 220.92 and its the poor recent offensive showings of both teams that should get us where we need to go. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 53–41 so we should fully expect a regression back to the mean towards the UNDER happening soon and this makes it yet another bet that features lots of value. When it comes to pace of play Los Angeles is 6 and Portland is 10 making this UNDER play a bit deceiving as these two quicker teams have really slowed it down offensively as of late. We also note that the Lakers are 11 in possessions per game and the Trail Blazers are the number 7 team in the league but its the recent offensive outputs from each squad that will really give us our edges here. The public consensus for this game is 55% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 215 so a 220 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and AI brain could not agree more. Game Time: Los Angeles Lakers at Portland Trail Blazers - Wednesday, January 25, 2017 10:35 PM Spread: 519 Los Angeles Lakers +8½ -110 +335 520 Portland Trail Blazers -8½ -110 -420 Total: 519 Los Angeles Lakers Over 220 -110 520 Portland Trail Blazers Under 220 -110 Betting odds provided by 5Dimes The Pick: UNDER 220 (2 Units) As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting! Picks By TexasMatt |
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