Pick #1 – Texas Rangers at Detroit Tigers

MLB Baseball has been amazing so far with plenty of twists and turns and tonight we set our sights on the Texas Rangers (22-20) against the Detroit Tigers (20-19) in face off that pits two teams dealing with injuries that are both fighting hard to streak past the .500 mark. This pick starts off with all the makings of a favorable bet as the opening line on the total of 10 has now swung a full point down to a 9 thanks to an early sharp money push which we will happily follow. Were getting all the right indicators for this game and that is highlighted by stats such as the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games and the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing at home against Texas giving us a very situation specific play that should come to fruition given recent and historical circumstances. The public consensus for this game is 68% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well.. The Texas Rangers produce 4.81 runs this year and the Detroit Tigers output 4.92 runs on the year so we will be leaning heavily on the missing big bats of Detroit (Martinez and Cabrera) and Texas (Gomez, Beltre) and the Tigers home trends to pull us through this one when it comes to playing the UNDER. The weather at Comerica Park is looking like 57°F Cloudy with a Humidity of 67% and the Wind is blowing North-northeast 11 mph giving us a great weather scenario where the hitting should be stifled. Another really favorable part of this UNDER bet is the fact that the Rangers have an elite closing staff which should go a long ways towards the later inning runs down. One of the best parts of this pick is that we get a Daniel Norris (L) pitching who is heating up and pitching his best ball of the season sporting a 3.18 ERA over the last week. We also get starting pitcher Nick Martinez (R) pitching who is also rounding into form as of late with a 4.5 ERA over last 7 days giving us two pitchers playing their best baseball of year facing lineups that are missing some big bats. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 10 so the UNDER 9 play gets all the right leans despite being slightly of from the AI predictor and at a -115 juice we should be super happy to grab a bunch value in this spot for all of the reasons above.

Game Time:
Texas Rangers at Detroit Tigers - Friday, May 19, 2017 7:10 PM

Spread:
969 Texas Rangers +1½ -160 +130
970 Detroit Tigers -1½ +140 -140

Total:
969 Texas Rangers Over 9 -105
970 Detroit Tigers Under 9 -115

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 9 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt

Pick #1 – Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics

Were finally getting down to crunch time in the NBA basketball playoffs and this Eastern conference finals series that pits the Cleveland Cavaliers (59-31) versus the Boston Celtics (61-34) in what should be a feeling out game for both teams where defense and calculated possessions should be the focus. This bet is favorable from the outset as some books OVER/UNDER line opened at 220 and we are now seeing it fall to a 219.5 over / under line giving us that great opening read as to where the smart money is leaning and the UNDER is looking like the side to bet on in this contest. Digging through the numbers even more we see that the total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 14 games when playing Boston and that the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston making this a highly specific situational play that easily puts the probabilities on our side. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 218.59 and 212.07 and we get our favorite NBA betting scenario to be in where both averages easily get us to the mark we are trying to hit. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 98–81-6 so we should fully expect an extreme regression back to a .500 record making the UNDER play yet another prime value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Cleveland is 16 and Boston is 12 and we can fully expect the Celtics to slow this one down to a crawl at home in order to get that key first win. We also note that the Cavaliers are 16 (dropping) in possessions per game and the Celtics the number 15 team in the league (falling fast) and again we can fully expect a slower paced game as the all of the trends are suggesting. The public consensus for this game is 53% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 224.3 so a 219.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite being off from the computer generated score.

Game Time:
Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics - Eastern Conference Finals - Game 1 - Wednesday, May 17, 2017 8:30 PM

Spread:
721 Cleveland Cavaliers -4 -110
722 Boston Celtics +4 -110

Total:
721 Cleveland Cavaliers Over 219½ -110
722 Boston Celtics Under 219½ -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 219.5 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt

Pick #1 – Washington Wizards at Boston Celtics

The Eastern Conference Semifinals NBA basketball playoff series is at a pinnacle game 7 and the Washington Wizards (56-38) facing off against the Boston Celtics (60-34) in what will be the biggest playoff game of the season to date so far. This bet is enticing from the get go as most books OVER/UNDER line opening was at 209.5 and now its gravitated to a 211 over / under resting spot which is very promising as the steam and smart money hint us in the right direction. Dissecting the key stats we see that the total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games on the road and that the total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Boston so despite last games low score its hard to envision this one not going OVER. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 216.18 and 212.50 and we get our favorite NBA betting scenario to be in where both averages easily get us to the mark we are trying to hit. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 101–82-6 and this specific playoff series is really leaning on the overwhelming missteps of the team totals odds makers to get this bet through. When it comes to pace of play Washington is 11 and Boston is 12 and this should be an offensive shoot out just like 5 out f the 6 games have been so far. We also note that the Wizards are 12 in possessions per game and the Celtics the number 15 team in the league so once again we are going to trust the data and breakdown which is all pointing to plenty of scoring in this critical playoff game and Boston is going to hit the gas to avoid such a close loss as last time. The public consensus for this game is 63% in favor of the over so it will be very interesting to see where this one finally falls. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 225 so a 211 OVER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go with a full boost of confidence from the AI predictor brain also.

Game Time:
Washington Wizards at Boston Celtics - Eastern Conference Semifinals - Game 7 - Monday, May 15, 2017 8:00 PM

Spread:
715 Washington Wizards +5 -110 +180
716 Boston Celtics -5 -110 -220

Total:
715 Washington Wizards Over 211 -110
716 Boston Celtics Under 211 -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
OVER 211 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt

Pick #1 – San Diego Padres at Chicago White Sox

MLB Baseball is in full and wow has it been awesome so far and tonight we set our sights on the San Diego Padres (13-23) against the Chicago White Sox (15-17) in matchup that see two of the weaker offenses square up. This pick starts off with all the makings of a solid play as the opening number on the total of 9 has now dropped to 8 thanks to an early smart money push which we will happily tail. Were getting all the right signals for this one and that is reinforced by stats such as the total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games on the road and the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego giving us every indication that this one should remain low as well. The public consensus for this game is 55% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well.. The San Diego Padres produce 3.53 runs this year and the Chicago White Sox output 4.03 runs on the year so we get that perfect setting where the offensive scoring don't break the Total line which is a huge value spot to be in when it comes to playing this UNDER. The weather at Guaranteed Rate Field is looking like 64°F and Sunny with a Humidity of 67% and a Wind is North-northeast 7 mph and with the wind blowing too hard right field the score should have no problem staying low. Another really favorable part of this UNDER bet is the fact that both the Padres and White Sox have elite closing staffs which should eliminate any late run bullpen blowup worries. One of the best parts of this pick is that we get a Miguel Gonzalez (R) pitching who has a .228 AVG against righties (7/9 Padres are RH hitters). We also get starting pitcher Jhoulys Chacin (R) pitching who has a 1.69 May ERA and has been pitching out of this world as of late. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 8.4 so the UNDER 8 play gets all the right leans despite being slightly of from the AI predictor and at a -110 we should be super happy to grab a bunch value in this spot for all of the reasons above.

Game Time:
San Diego Padres at Chicago White Sox - Friday, May 12, 2017 8:10 PM

Spread:
929 San Diego Padres +1½ -175 +117
930 Chicago White Sox -1½ +155 -127

Total:
929 San Diego Padres Over 8 -110
930 Chicago White Sox Under 8 -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 8 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt

Pick #1 – Washington Wizards at Boston Celtics

The Eastern Conference Semifinals NBA basketball playoff series is firing on all cylinders and tonight we have the pleasure of viewing the Washington Wizards (55-37) facing off against the Boston Celtics (59-33) in what is probably the most critical game so far as these two teams are dead even with each other. This bet is favorable from the outset as most books OVER/UNDER line opening was at 215 and now its gravitated to a 216 over / under resting spot which is great news it comes to relying on the steam and smart money as an initial indicator. Breaking open the key stats we see that the total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road and the total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Boston and the total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston so needless to say this has OVER written all over it. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 217.18 and 212.69 and we are going to lean on the potent offenses on both sides of the ball to really carry this one home for us. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 99–81-6 and this specific playoff series is really leaning on the overwhelming missteps of the team totals odds makers. When it comes to pace of play Washington is 11 and Boston is 12 and this should be an offensive shoot out like no other with two of the best PG's in the game leading the way. We also note that the Wizards are 11 in possessions per game (on a huge upswing) and the Celtics the number 14 team in the league (rising nicely) so once again we are going to trust the data and breakdown which is all pointing to plenty of scoring in this crucial playoff game. The public consensus for this game is 66% in favor of the over so it will be very interesting to see where this one finally falls. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 225 so a 216 OVER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go with a full boost of confidence from the AI predictor brain as well.

Game Time:
Washington Wizards at Boston Celtics - Eastern Conference Semifinals - Game 5 - Wednesday, May 10, 2017 8:00 PM

Spread:
519 Washington Wizards +4½ -110 +160
520 Boston Celtics -4½ -110 -185

Total:
519 Washington Wizards Over 216 -110
520 Boston Celtics Under 216 -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
OVER 216 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt

Pick #1 – Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz

Second round of the NBA basketball playoffs are winding doubt but the action is not and tonight we get the Golden State Warriors (74-15) facing off against the Utah Jazz (55-37) in what is a must win game for Jazz to avoid the embarrassment of a 4 game sweep which should be some extra incentive to perform at a higher level tonight. This pick has been moving up and down a half point over the day so far with most books OVER/UNDER line opening at 206.5 and shuffling back and forth to finally land on the same 206.5 over / under line so we will be forced to rely on some the finer details in this contest to predict the most probable outcome. Breaking open the key stats we see that the total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road and the total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games at home so we should get a perfect storm tonight where both teams will turn up the offensive tenacity. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 216.2 and 201.07 and we are going to lean on the potent Warriors offense and the Jazz need to keep up at all costs to really carry this one home for us. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 82–99 so we should fully expect an extreme regression back to a .500 record making the OVER play yet another prime value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Golden State is 4 and Utah is 30 and the favored Warriors should be able to exert their offensive will and the Jazz will have no choice but to run and gun to keep up. We also note that the Warriors are 4 in possessions per game and the Jazz the number 30 team in the league (rising nicely) but once again we are going to trust the data and breakdown which is all pointing to plenty of scoring in this crucial playoff game. The public consensus for this game is 66% in favor of the over so it will be very interesting to see where this one finally falls. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 205.6 so a 206.5 OVER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite being slightly off from the AI predictor brain.

Game Time:
Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz - Western Conference Semifinals - Game 4 - Monday, May 08, 2017 9:00 PM

Spread:
701 Golden State Warriors -8½ -110 -420
702 Utah Jazz +8½ -110 +335

Total:
701 Golden State Warriors Over 206½ -110
702 Utah Jazz Under 206½ -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
OVER 206.5 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt

Pick #1 – San Antonio Spurs at Houston Rockets

Friday night and plenty of the NBA basketball playoffs second round and does it get much better then this as we set our sights on the San Antonio Spurs (66-24) versus the Houston Rockets (60-29) in what should be a grind it battle in slow versus fast. This bet is favorable from the outset as some books OVER/UNDER line opened at 216.5 and we are now seeing it drop 3 full points to 213.5 over / under line giving us that great initial read as to where the smart money is leaning and the UNDER is looking like the side to take in this contest. Digging through the numbers even more we see that the total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing on the road against Houston so these two teams have a strong history of playing paced down basketball in Houston which should play highly into favor tonight. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 220.49 and 207.58 and we are really looking to the Spurs to make the necessary adjustments on the court to hold the score much closer to the defensive averages which is what they are known for while combined with a road trend to back it up. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 98–80-1 so we should fully expect an extreme regression back to a .500 record making the UNDER play yet another prime value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Houston is 3 and San Antonio is 27 and we can fully expect the Spurs to slow this one down to a crawl at home in order to get the win as well as get their confidence back in their style of basketball. We also note that the Rockets are 3 in possessions per game and the Spurs the number 27 team in the league (falling fast) and again we can fully expect the slow paced Spurs to really make a point in this crucial game and that should produce a low scoring affair. The public consensus for this game is 67% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 213.5 so a 219.3 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and despite being off from the computer generated score.

Game Time:
San Antonio Spurs at Houston Rockets - Western Conference Semifinals - Game 3 - Friday, May 05, 2017 9:30 PM

Spread:
737 San Antonio Spurs +5 -110 +175
738 Houston Rockets -5 -110 -210

Total:
737 San Antonio Spurs Over 213½ -110
738 Houston Rockets Under 213½ -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 213.5 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt

Pick #1 – Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs

The NBA basketball playoffs second round is in full swing with some shocking results so far and tonight we target the Houston Rockets (60-28) versus the San Antonio Spurs (65-24) in what should be a revenge game for one of the best defensive and overall teams in the league on their home court. This bet is enticing from the start as some books OVER/UNDER line opened at 217 and we are now seeing it drop a full point to 215.5 over / under line giving us that great first impression as to where the smart money is leaning and the UNDER is looking like the side to take in this contest. Combing through the numbers even more we see that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing San Antonio so these two teams have a strong recent history of playing paced down basketball which should play highly into favor tonight. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 220.53 and 207.48 and we are really looking to the Spurs to make the necessary adjustments on the court to hold the score much closer to the defensive averages which is what they are known for and get their home court to prove it. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 96–80-1 so we should fully expect an extreme regression back to a .500 record making the UNDER play yet another prime value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Houston is 3 and San Antonio is 27 and we can fully expect the Spurs to slow this one down to a crawl at home in order to get the win as well as get their confidence back in their style of basketball. We also note that the Rockets are 3 in possessions per game and the Spurs the number 27 team in the league (dropping drastically) and again we can fully expect the slow paced Spurs to really make a point in this pivotal game and that should produce a low scoring affair. The public consensus for this game is 54% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 215.6 so a 215.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and we even get the AI predictor brain on our side in this contest.

Game Time:
Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs - Western Conference Semifinals - Game 2 - Wednesday, May 03, 2017 9:35 PM

Spread:
733 Houston Rockets +5½ -110 +195
734 San Antonio Spurs -5½ -110 -235

Total:
733 Houston Rockets Over 215.5 -110
734 San Antonio Spurs Under 215.5 -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 215.5 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt

Pick #1 – Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers

The NBA basketball playoffs second round is finally here and tonight we target the Toronto Raptors (55-33) versus the Cleveland Cavaliers (55-31) in what should be an exciting duel between some of the best teams in the league. This pick peaks our interest out the gate as some books OVER/UNDER line opened at 209.5 and we are now seeing it drop down all day to final resting place of a 208.5 over / under line giving us that great first lead into where the smart money is leaning and the UNDER is looking like the choice for this matchup. Investigating deeper into the numbers we see that the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games and that the total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 11 games on the road so we are counting on Toronto in this game to really drain the pace of the game. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 216.42 and 209.23 and it should be the recent trends that really get us to where we need to go in this one. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 96–75-3 so we should fully expect an extreme regression back to a .500 record making the UNDER play yet another great value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Toronto is 23 and Cleveland is 16 and we can fully expect the Raptors to slow this one down to a crawl on the road in order to get the win. We also note that the Raptors are 25 in possessions per game (dropping drastically) and the Cavaliers the number 16 team in the league and getting two teams in the lower half of the league in terms of offensive opportunity at this high of a total is always favorable. The public consensus for this game is 63% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 204.6 so a 208.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and we even get the AI predictor brain on our side for this one.

Game Time:
Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers - Eastern Conference Playoffs Second Round - Game 1 - Monday, May 1, 2017 7:00 PM

Spread:
723 Toronto Raptors +6½ -110
724 Cleveland Cavaliers -6½ -110

Total:
723 Toronto Raptors Over 208.5 -110
724 Cleveland Cavaliers Under 208.5 -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 208.5 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt

Pick #1 – Los Angeles Clippers at Utah Jazz

To say the 1st round of the NBA basketball playoffs have been electrifying so far would be an understatement and this Friday will be no different as the Los Angeles Clippers (53-34) take on the Utah Jazz (54-33) in what is a must win game for the falling Clippers. This pick jumps off the page right off the bat as some books OVER/UNDER line opened at 191.5 and we are now watching as it shoots all the way up to a 194.5 over / under line giving us a great first hint as to where the sharp money is moving and the OVER is starting to reveal itself as the value play. Investigating deeper into the stats we see that the total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 9 games on the road and that the total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games at home making this the perfect spot for a large combined score. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 208.72 and 200.97 and we are in that rare spot that always gets us excited as even just average play easily gets us to the mark we need to hit. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 89–84-1 and even though the mean regression is siding towards the under we still like this value spot given the fact that is now the playoffs where everything is re-setting and the stakes are increasing. When it comes to pace of play Los Angeles is 17 and Utah is 30 and despite being on the slower side of the league this is a unique playoff situation that will call for more offensive production then usual. We also note that the Clippers are 19 in possessions per game and the Utah the number 30 team in the league but once again we are going to trust the data and breakdown which is all pointing to plenty of scoring in this crucial playoff game. The public consensus for this game is 69% in favor of the over so it will be interesting to see where this one lands. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 200.4 so a 194.5 OVER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and we even get the AI predictor brain on our side for this one.

Game Time:
Los Angeles Clippers at Utah Jazz - Western Conference Playoffs - First Round - Game 6 - Friday, April 28, 2017 10:35 PM

Spread:
507 Los Angeles Clippers +5½ -110 +200
508 Utah Jazz -5½ -110 -240

Total:
507 Los Angeles Clippers Over 194½ -110
508 Utah Jazz Under 194½ -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
OVER 194.5 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt