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NBA Picks Wednesday 5/18/2016 – OKC vs. GSW

5/18/2016

 
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Pick #1 – Oklahoma Thunder at Golden State Warriors​

A brutal scoring fourth quarter last game let us a bit short but created a nice upset for the visiting Thunder. The first game between the Oklahoma Thunder and Golden State Warriors who are -2 amd 7-3 over there last 10 games respectively seem to be taking a slower pace to the games as we head deep into the playoffs. The Oklahoma Thunder (64-30) and the Golden State Warriors (81-12) are both playing extremely focused basketball and we have to expect tonight's matchup to be much of the same. The Thunder have no active injuries while the Warriors show Kevon Looney as the only one not suting up making for a very close game plan to the last contest. After watching things very closely in the last game the UNDER looks like a nice value play today. Lets start to look inside the numbers as to why this has all the makings of another defensive display and poor offensive showing. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games. Continuing to pile on the stats The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing Golden State. Even more telling the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City. It goes on and on as we see the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State. These two teams are pretty clearly slowing it down when it comes to facing each other and tonight we should expect nothing different. The offensive and defensive combined stats over the last 10 games are 222.2 and 208.1 respectively so we easily hit the better and below the mark we are shooting. The over/under for this NBA spread total opened at 221.5 and has now moved to 223 but this is the same pattern that failed last game so we are trusting the movements here. The Warriors losy by 6 points when these two teams met last game and there is just something about when these teams meet that are now rolling towards the UNDER. The public consensus for this game is an appealing 58% so its really a coin toss that we have to feel will go the other way like last game. The last time these two met two days agothe final score was a 108 – 102 win for the Thunder so we can expect another dogfight to the defensive end. We have to feel happy about taking the UNDER 223 with the way things went only a couple of days ago. Lets take the UNDER 223 here and ride the wave that these two teams are currently taking which is slower more defensive ball.

Game Time:
Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors - Western Conference Finals - Game 2 - Wednesday, May 18, 2016 9:05 PM

Spread:
705 Oklahoma City Thunder +9
706 Golden State Warriors -9

Total:
705 Oklahoma City Thunder Over 223
706 Golden State Warriors Under 223

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 223 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt
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