NBA Picks Wednesday 4/5/2017 – TOR vs. DET

Pick #1 – Toronto Raptors at Detroit Pistons

One of the most exciting times of the year for sports the NBA basketball playoff race is really getting intense and tonight we will target the Toronto Raptors (47-31) versus the Detroit Pistons (35-42) giving us two teams that are fighting for playoff position but in very different circumstances. This bet is highly encouraging upon initial preview as some books OVER/UNDER line started at 197 and we are now seeing it shoot up to a 200.5 over / under giving us every reason to think the savvy money is siding on the OVER as the sharper bet. Diving in depth into the match up we note that the total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games when playing Detroit really highlighting the fact that these two teams have no problem getting up to play each other the offensive output when facing off is proving that. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 208.13 and 205.41 and we get that oh so valuable scenario where both averages take us to our OVER easily with simple standard play. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 76–78-1 and so we should fully expect the pull back to a .500 to continue making the OVER play yet another great value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Toronto is 22 and Detroit is 24 but as noted above these teams not only have a lot to play for but also enjoy playing at a faster offensive pace then usual when squared off. We also note that the Raptors are 23 in possessions per game and the Pistons the number 25 team in the league (seeing a nice increase as a recent trend) and its these teams current playoff run needs that have us in a great position to get a high scoring, shoot out affair. The public consensus for this game is 59% in favor of the under so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 204.4 so a 200.5 OVER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go despite the AI predictor brain not seeing it the same way.

Game Time:
Toronto Raptors at Detroit Pistons - Wednesday, April 05, 2017 7:35 PM

Spread:
503 Toronto Raptors pk -110
504 Detroit Pistons pk -110

Total:
503 Toronto Raptors Over 200½ -110
504 Detroit Pistons Under 200½ -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
OVER 200.5 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt