NBA Picks Wednesday 4/27/2016 – CHA vs. MIA

Pick #1 – Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat​

So far this playoff matchup has been the tail of two cities and there must be something in the Miami air and home crowd because the sparks have flied when these two have met on the Heat homecourt. In this fourth playoff game the Heat look to make a solid home court defense and with both teams playing equally average 6-4 basketball over there last 10 games most likely Miami will get the game that it wants against the Hornets. The Charlotte Hornets (50-36) and the Miami Heat (50-36) have both been showcasing different personalities at home and on the road and we have to believe that trend should continue and especially tonight in a home statement game for Miami. While the Hornets get key Forward Nicholas Batum back coming off the bench both teams are relatively healthy with the Heat missing Chris Bosh (out the last half of the season) and Tyler Johnson and the Hornets only missing Michael Kidd-Gilchrist so no suprises or defeceits should enter the picture tonight. With the series tied at 2-2 we have to think both teams will be giving everything they have tonight and if other playoff trends follow here we should get similar games to what we were seeing when the series started out. Lets go over some of the numbers that make this OVER a very good selection within tonights betting options. The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 9 games. On top of this the Hornets feature an overall season total over/under record of 24-18-1 so there on the road playing style combined with the Heat's homecourt electricity should yield us another super high scoring game. The offensive and defensive numbers gives a really strong position here as the last 10 contests equal up to 205.2 and 197.6 respectively so we are really seeing the scoring and offensive advantages as well as defensive shortcomings siding to our advantage here. The over/under for this NBA spread total opened at 193 and has already moved up to 194 as of this analysis so we really have feel good about where the money is flowing in on this bet. Charlotte who just beat the Heat by 4 points at home are giving up +6 points on the road here so we know both teams will have to bring it on the offesive front tonight. The OVER public pick for this game is at an extremely appeling 66% so all stats are looking up for this one. The last plyaoff game two days ago in Charlotte between these two Eastern conference foes resulted in a 89 – 85 Hornets victory so as this one moves into Miami it has all the makings of game more like the 121-91 series opener. This should be a very easy OVER 194 position tonight as a change in venue has the oddsmakers off on this one.

Game Time:
Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat - Playoffs - 1st Round, Game 5 - Wednesday, April 27, 2016 8:05 PM

Spread:
575 Charlotte Hornets +6
576 Miami Heat -6

Total:
575 Charlotte Hornets Over 194
576 Miami Heat Under 194

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
OVER 194 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt