NBA Picks Wednesday 3/29/2017 – ATL vs. PHI

Pick #1 – Atlanta Hawks at Philadelphia

Want to know one of the best ways to get through the middle of the week? By watching NBA basketball of course and tonight we get 10 games of entertainment as we focus in on the Atlanta Hawks (36-34) versus the Philadelphia 76ers (30-39) in a must win game for Atlanta who will be tasked we keeping up with the high flying and scoring young guns of the 76ers. This bet is highly encouraging upon first look over as some books OVER/UNDER line started at 207 and we are now seeing it continue to be bumped up all the way to a 210.5 over / under as we formulate this pick and this insight provides a strong hint for us on where the smart money is being bet. Diving in depth into the match up we note that the total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 12 games at home and that the total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Atlanta so we are getting two teams who not only really like to go out and score against each other but also are in scenarios where paced up basketball makes the most sense. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 205.49 and 211.96 and we are really looking at a matchup specific scenario, lack of defense and recent trends to carry us through on this one. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 65–79-4 and so we should fully expect an extreme regression back to a .500 record making the OVER play yet another great value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Atlanta is 10 and Philadelphia is 5 giving us two teams in the top 10 in terms of pace in the league right and this total is simply too low given the above conditions. We also note that the Hawks are 9 in possessions per game (huge recent jump) and the 76ers the number 5 team in the league (up ticking as well) and were really looking to the 76ers love of pushing the pace at home and must win aspect for the Hawks to really send this game into an offensive upswing. The public consensus for this game is 63% in favor of the over so its a bit on the fence in the public eyes where this one is headed. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 215.6 so a 210.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and we even have the AI predictor heavily on our side in this one as well..

Game Time:
Atlanta Hawks at Philadelphia 76ers - Wednesday, March 29, 2017 7:05 PM

Spread:
501 Atlanta Hawks -2 -110 -128
502 Philadelphia 76ers +2 -110 +108

Total:
501 Atlanta Hawks Over 210½ -110
502 Philadelphia 76ers Under 210½ -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
OVER 210.5 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt