Pick #1 – Indiana Pacers at Boston Celtics
Wednesday is upon and that means lots more NBA basketball of course and tonight we get 8 games of entertainment as we dial in the Indiana Pacers (36-34) versus the Boston Celtics (30-39) which gives us two teams looking pretty good in the playoff race. This bet is highly enticing upon first glance as some books OVER/UNDER line started at 208.5 and we are now seeing it continue to sink all the way down to a 206.5 over / under upon writing and this provides a strong opening insight for us on where the smart money is being funneled. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 211.55 and 209.92 and we are really looking at a matchup specific scenario and recent trends to carry us through this one. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 65–73-3 and we will be watching this stat going forward to see where the convergence will lean for the season. When it comes to pace of play Indiana is 17 and Boston is 14 giving us two teams in the bottom half of the league matched up which should provide for a very slow game tonight. We also note that the Pacers are 17 in possessions per game (on an extreme decline) and the Celtics the number 14 team in the league and were really looking to the Pacers sluggish play as of late to set the tone and carry this one home for us. The public consensus for this game is 58% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 201.6 so a 206.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and we even have the AI predictor slightly on our side in this one as well..
Indiana Pacers at Boston Celtics - Wednesday, March 22, 2017 7:35 PM
753 ndiana Pacers +7 -110 +260
754 Boston Celtics -7 -110 -320
753 ndiana Pacers Over 206½ -110
754 Boston Celtics Under 206½ -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 206.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
Picks By TexasMatt
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