Pick #1 – Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks
Here we see two playoff bound teams collide for what should be an electric matchup. While the Thunder are dominating the entire league and currently sport a 7-3 record over there last 10 games the Mavericks still have a little work to do which shows in there 4-6 record over the same amount of games. Both teams can certainly hold there own on any given night and Dallas (30-27-33) and Okalahoma (40-16) should give us a hard fought uptempo battle tonight on the court. Neither team has a single injury of note on the roster so both teams are coming back in full swing and with all the weapons from the NBA All Star Break. The Thunder and Mavericks have both not been that stellar defensively while each can go off for huge offensive bursts and especially lately. Over these two teams last 10 head to head matchups the over/under is a nice 6-4 which is starting to clear the way for this being a favored over game. While the above is a nice foundation when we dig deeper into the information we really start to get a feel for how good of a value this pick is. The first really promising indicator here is that The total has gone OVER in 5 of Maverick's last 5 games. They are a perfect 5/5 and we know the Thunder have no problem stepping the pace and offensive output when needed. Combine this with there already positive head to head road over/under total record and were looking at a game with potentially a lot of buckets. Working out the offensive and defensive 10 game averages for the teams joint production we see offensive totals of 217.4 points while giving up on the other side of the ball 214.7 points per game. We have to really like the fact that both these numbers are above the NBA total we are getting here which is always a great sign. Lets not forget the Thunder also have to win by -5 on the road so you can bet these teams are going to be pushing the pace here especailly with Dallas protecting home court. While the point spread for this NBA over/under started at 214.5 and has not moved yet we have to feel good about where the data is taking us. Its clear the money likes the over side of this bet as it is sitting at a hefty 92% consensus point. The last time these two teams met only a mere month ago the Thunder were favored by -7 and the final score was 109 – 106 so we have to like our side after reviewing how these two teams match up in recent history. Lets go with the numbers here and take the OVER 214.5 which feels like one of the highest value plays on the board today.
Wednesday, February 24, 2016 8:35 PM
515 Oklahoma City Thunder -5
516 Dallas Mavericks +5
515 Oklahoma City Thunder Over 214½
516 Dallas Mavericks Under 214½
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
Over 214.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
Picks By TexasMatt
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