The downswing continues and the last two picks have been a bit rough. In each bet we had one half of the game go completely to our side and one half going down hill costing us the bet. This was the first bet that put us slightly in the red so we need to really focus and get back to our winning ways. Only down a single unit since we started we are pretty close to having an even record and this no time to panic and every chance to work harder. 11 games in the NBA tonight so there is going to be a lot of action making it a great night to hopefully find some value and grab back some of those units we lost. The last two bets have felt a lot like Dirk Nowitzki must have felt last night when he got hung by the rim on a failed dunk after the whistle. If you have not seen the video its worth a look for a laugh. Its even better that him and Zaza have a friendly season long dunk bet and that it might count as a minus one towards it. We need a little more magic like Deron Williams game winning double overtime 3 pointer last night and less hang ups so lets get into tonight’s pick as we try to maneuver our way back into the green.
Pick #1 – Toronto Raptors vs. Brooklyn Nets
The Toronto Raptors games have gone over the given total for today 11 out of there last 12 games and I can see no reason for that slowing down tonight especially given that they must win by 7 points on the road. Sure Demare Carroll might be re-hurt but he was never fully healthy for this current Raptors scoring run so this should not be a big factor. Toronto even has center Jonas Valanciunas back and fully healthy giving them even more scoring options on the floor. The big key here is that Brooklyn's starting point guard Jarret Jack (Joe Johnson also has a bruised thigh, though I think he plays) is out with an injury and his back up point guards in Larkin and Sloan are not very good. That being said the line still feels over compensated for this as the Nets still have lots of firepower in Lopez, Young and company. 6 out of 8 of the Nets game have also gone over today's over / under so we have to feel really good about the over in this bet. In addition to all of the above score a combined 197.4 and give up 200.8 again setting us up nicely for what should be a decent scoring game that hits its over mark without problem. Lowry and DeRozen should be able to eat up the depleted Brooklyn front court putting up a ton of points on there way to trying to cover the large -7 away point spread. While the money has moved the line 1 point down since we have been watching the bet I still like the value here and if we liked it at a higher total then the lower total is even more appealing. Bojan Bogdanovic has also been really stepping up his game lately and if he can get even little hot from the field it will be all the more a bonus. For all of the above reasons lets take the over in this one and look to pick up a couple units, get back into the positive and start moving the right direction.
Wednesday, January 06, 2016 7:35 PM
507 Toronto Raptors -7
508 Brooklyn Nets +7
507 Toronto Raptors Over 195½
508 Brooklyn Nets Under 195½
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
Over 195.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games!
Picks By TexasMatt
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