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NBA Picks Wednesday 12/7/2016 – CLE vs. NYY

12/7/2016

 
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Pick #1 – Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks​

Another big NBA wednesday slate with plenty to choose from and tonight we focus in on the Cleveland Cavaliers (14-5) at New York Knicks (12-9) which should be a grind it out battle between two very talented teams. The sharp money has shown its steam already dropping this opening NBA 216 over / under line down an entire 2 points to 214 giving us our first lead that this game should very well be headed to an UNDER. Removing the clouds from this selection with even more facts and stats we see that the total has gone UNDER in 16 of New York's last 23 games at home and there is certainly something to bright lights of New York that causes visitors to under perform and that should continue here. On top of this the total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing Cleveland and the total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland so were not only getting a global trend but also a matchup specific trend in our favor as well which we love to see. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 215.08 and 211.34 respectively so the averages should really be pulling the points down to a level that gets us to exactly where we need to be and in a prime position to win this bet. The total combined OVER/UNDER record for the year for both teams equals up to a mark 20-18-2 so while a coin flip on paper the circumstances really lean the value on the UNDER in this spot. When it comes to pace of play Cleveland is 11 in the league overall and New York is 17 overall so we get teams out of the top 10 on a bloated over/under whch is always nice. Even more promising is that the Cavaliers are 15 in posessions per game (trending down) and the Knicks rank 18 (dropping quickly) so the oppportunities should be limited enough in this one to bring home the win. The public consensus for this game is 60% in favor of the over so were fading the public here which has proved lucrative in the past. All signs point in the direction of a 214 UNDER giving us a great chance to bring home yet another victory at the books.

Game Time:
Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks - Wednesday, December 07, 2016 8:05 PM

Spread:
711 Cleveland Cavaliers -8½ -110 -380
712 New York Knicks +8½ -110 +315

Total:
711 Cleveland Cavaliers Over 214 -110
712 New York Knicks Under 214 -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 214 (2 Units)
Bet at 5dimes

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    My background is in business, specifically Behavioral Science  consulting, finance and entrepreneurship. My systems are based on financial analysis combined with a behavioral analysis approach. 

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  • Welcome
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    • NFL Betting >
      • Spread Betting Explained
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      • Impact of Turnovers on Winning and Losing in the NFL
      • NFL Betting Strategy
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    • How to Bet on NFL: More Teaser Strategy
    • How to Bet on NFL: Covered Spread Betting with Push Charts
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