NBA Picks Wednesday 11/2/2016 – PHO vs. MEM

Pick #1 – New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies

Crazy to start to the NBA year so far and we pick things back up tonight as we get the New Orleans Pelicans (0-4) at the Memphis Grizzlies (2-2) in a battle of two teams that desperately need to get back on track with Pelicans really needing to pick up one with a full effort. There are a number of out indefinitely's to report such as Tyreke Evans, Jrue Holiday, and Quincy Pondexter for the Pelicans and Brandan Wright and Chandler Parsons for the Grizzlies. From the jump the smart money is hammering this NBA total of a 204 opening line that has now shot up to 206.5 giving us our first clue as to where this OVER bet should end up. Sorting through more stats we see that the total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games and that the total has gone OVER in 17 of Memphis's last 25 games at home so picking up a team that gives the extra effort at home. We also note that the total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games and that the total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing New Orleans. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 201.5 and 218 respectively which gives us plenty of reason to believe the defense is not going to show up with enough push to stop this OVER. The total combined OVER/UNDER record for the year here is 6-2 as each of these teams have started off at an incredibly fast pace. In fact the Pelicans are 3rd in the league for pace of play and 6th for possession per game so this one should be a barn burner. The public consensus for this game is 74% in favor of the OVER so its all systems go for this one tonight. The computer predicted outcome of this one is 212 so its going to take a lot of bad breaks for this matchup to see anything but the OVER 206.5.

Game Time:
New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies - Wednesday, November 02, 2016 8:05 PM

Spread:
511 New Orleans Pelicans +6 -110 +200
512 Memphis Grizzlies -6 -110 -240

Total:
511 New Orleans Pelicans Over 206½ -110
512 Memphis Grizzlies Under 206½ -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
OVER 206.5 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt