NBA Picks Wednesday 11/16/2016 – SAS vs. SAC

Pick #1 – San Antonio Spurs at Sacramento Kings

Its hump day which always sets us up for a monstrous NBA schedule to pour over and jumping out at us is the San Antonio Spurs (8-3) versus the Sacramento Kings (4-6) and its a battle of slow and good against slow and bad which should lead to whole a lot of UNDER just like this near identical game did three weeks ago. The savvy money is already picked up on what we see as this opening NBA 198.5 over / under line has dropped to 197 indicating some nice value to pick up on the UNDER here. Diving into more facts and stats we see that the total has gone UNDER in 9 of Sacramento's last 13 games really uncovering the fact that the odds makers have not adjusted from last years run and gun Kings style. Also the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing San Antonio and the total has gone UNDER in 7 of Sacramento's last 8 games when playing at home against San Antonio and its these type of situational specific trends you simply can not ignore. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 200 and 199.4 respectively so this is a very team and court dependent play were relying on here to make up those couple extra points we need to hit. The total combined OVER/UNDER record for the year for both teams equals up to a mark of 9-13 so were getting a scenario that is too hard to pass up here. When it comes to pace of play San Antonio is 27 overall and Sacramento is 28 so its basically the two slowest teams in the league going at it tonight which should be yet another grind out every possession game again like we watched just three weeks ago against these two. Just as stellar of leans we note that the Spurs are 29 in possessions per game and dropping steadily while the Kings come in at 25 so the points are opportunities are going to be few and far between in this contest. The public consensus for this game is 67% in favor of the over play so while against us the numbers are leading us otherwise in this spot. The computer predicted outcome of this one is 199 so its going to be the many other factors to rely on here that should easily sneak us into this 197 UNDER winner play.

Game Time:
San Antonio Spurs at Sacramento Kings - Wednesday, November 16, 2016 10:35 PM

Spread:
519 San Antonio Spurs -6 -110 -240
520 Sacramento Kings +6 -110 +200

Total:
519 San Antonio Spurs Over 197 -110
520 Sacramento Kings Under 197 -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 197 (2 Units