Pick #1 – Minnesota Timberwolves at Portland Trail Blazers
What a weekend it has been for basketball and after two full days of amazing college hoops we get to pick it up here on this Saturday with some juicy NBA baskeball and as such we are setting our sights on the Minnesota Timberwolves (28-43) versus the Portland Trail Blazers (33-38) which gives us one tam fighting for a playoff spot and another who already most likely playing in off season mode. This bet is highly enticing upon first glance as some books OVER/UNDER line started at 218 and we are now seeing it continue to sink all the way down to a 213.5 over / under as this is being released which is always a strong hint as to where the smart money is being channeled. Dissecting this contest even more wo not that the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games and that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota giving us the team with everything online playing a slow style of basketball which should result in much the same tonight as they go to what has been working for not only against the wolves but also as recent play. The season offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 213.03 and 215.24 and we are really looking at a matchup specific scenario and recent trends to carry us through on this one. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 75–65-2 and so we should fully expect an extreme regression back to a .500 record making the UNDER play yet another great value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Minnesota is 25 and Portland is 12 giving us one of the slowest teams in the game against a better team that wants to play slower basketball as of late. We also note that the Timberwolves are 24 in posessions per game and the Trail Blazers the number 9 team in the league (on an extreme decline) and were really looking to theTrailblazers latest pace adjustment to carry this one through. The public consensus for this game is 97% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 212.4 so a 213.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and we even have the AI predictor slightly on our side in this one as well..
Minnesota Timberwolves at Portland Trail Blazers - Saturday, March 25, 2017 10:05 PM
509 Minnesota Timberwolves +6½ -110 +230
510 Portland Trail Blazers -6½ -110 -270
509 Minnesota Timberwolves Over 213½ -110
510 Portland Trail Blazers Under 213½ -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 213.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
Picks By TexasMatt
Help keep the FREE Picks coming. Sign up for an account at one of my recommended sports books.