NBA Picks Monday 5/9/2016 – GSW vs. POR

Pick #1 – Golden State Warriors at Portland Trailblazers​

Portland proved the Warriors are beatable but it is going to be a tough challenge trying to pick up two in a row in this much needed game 4 playoff win. In this fourth game Portland looks to keep there momentum going as they take a 6-4 basketball record over there last 10 games up against the high flying Warriors who rarely lose back to back and bring in a solid 8-2 last 10 game run. The Portland Trailblazers (49-42) and the Golden State Warriors (79-11) are both playing some lighting fast basketball right now and the scoring gets ramped up even more each time they meet. Portland only lists the non-factor Meyers Leonard while the Warriors have a similar injury position with insignificant Kevon Looney off the court. The real X-factor here is if Stephen Curry will play. While it looks like e will play it is still a game time decision and very much in the air. Even without curry the game pace will be pushed by both teams as usual. Portland is in a real nice position as they get a chance to pick up another win at home and even the series which will require plenty of points just like the last game. Lets take a look at some of the reasons that make this OVER play one with plenty of value. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games so it really does seem like there ready to keep kicking it up a notch in the scoring department against one of the leagues most potent offenses. In addition to this Portland has a 48-43 complete season over/under Total record and the Warriors have a 48-41-1 o/u season total so each of these teams give us a nice lean towards over on the a grand scale. The offensive and defensive numbers add up averaged over the past 10 games to 211.9 and 199.6 respectively which which means we are really looking at the matchup specific situation here. The over/under for this NBA spread total opened at 214 and has inched up to as high as 215.5 so the money is flowing on the side we like which is always a good sign. The Trailblazers who just won by 12 points are being given a +6 point spread at home some serious points will need to put here by both teams. The OVER consensus for this game is 65% so all the right indicators are pointing the right direction for this one. The last plyaoff game two days ago in Portland between these two Western conference rivals resulted in a 120 – 108 Trailblazers win so expect much of the same tonight with lots of emphasis being place on offense. This should be a strong OVER 215 play as we get some of the fastest playing teams and most potent offensives going head to head tonight in a playoff game of huge magnitude.

Game Time:
Golden State Warriors at Portland Trail Blazers - Western Conference Playoffs Semi-Finals - Game 4 - Monday, May 09, 2016 10:30 PM

Spread:
531 Golden State Warriors -6
532 Portland Trail Blazers +6

Total:
531 Golden State Warriors Over 215
532 Portland Trail Blazers Under 215

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
OVER 215 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt