NBA Picks Monday 3/27/2017 – CLE vs. SAS

Pick #1 – Cleveland Cavaliers at San Antonio Spurs

One of the best times of the entire year for basketball not only is March madness in full swing but the NBA basketball playoff race is heating up to an all time high setting the stage for a very interesting game that pits the Cleveland Cavaliers (47-25) versus the San Antonio Spurs (56-16) which gives us league heavy weights where position and form matters . This bet is highly enticing upon first glance as some books OVER/UNDER line started at 212.5 and we are now seeing it continue to drop all day eventually landing on a 212 over / under as this is being released which is always a strong indication as to where the sharp money is leaning. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 216.83 and 205.31 and we can fully expect this to be a defensive standoff as that is what the Cavs will want to focus on after getting blown out by Washington. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 71–61-2 and so we should fully expect an extreme regression back to a .500 record making the UNDER play yet another great value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Cleveland is 16 and San Antonio is 27 giving us two teams in the bottom half of the league matched up which should provide for a very slow game tonight. We also note that the Cavaliers are 17 in possessions per game (on an extreme decline) and the Celtics the number 14 team in the league (dropping heavily) and were really looking at two teams who most likely trying to make defensive statements, one team as their trademark style and the other needing a strong defensive showing after a massive failure last game all while fighting for the #1 spot in the east. The public consensus for this game is 65% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 205.9 so a 212 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and we even have the AI predictor slightly on our side in this one as well..

Game Time:
Cleveland Cavaliers at San Antonio Spurs - Monday, March 27, 2017 8:05 PM

Spread:
735 Cleveland Cavaliers +5 -110 +175
736 San Antonio Spurs -5 -110 -210

Total:
735 Cleveland Cavaliers Over 212 -110
736 San Antonio Spurs Under 212 -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 212 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt