Pick #1 – Atlanta Hawks at Charlotte Hornets
Monday is here and one of the best ways to start off any week is betting NBA baskeball of course and tonight we get to kick back and relax as we take in the Atlanta Hawks (37-32) versus the Charlotte Hornets (30-39) which gives us two teams in a must win game which should really ramp up the offensive intensity. This bet is very appealing upon first look as some books OVER/UNDER line started at 203 and we are now seeing it continue to rise all the way up to 204.5 over / under upon writing and this provides a strong opening insight for us on where the sharp money is being layed. Breaking down the contest even further we take note that the total has gone OVER in 12 of Charlotte's last 17 games when playing at home against Atlanta really highlighting the fact that these two teams always get up offensively when they meet. The season offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 208.38 and 208.77 and we get that oh so valuable scenario where both averages take us to our OVER goal even at the peak levels of performance. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 61–75-2 and so we should fully expect an extreme regression back to a .500 record making the OVER play yet another great value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Atlanta is 10 and Charlotte is 19 where we get a top 10 paced team, in a low total who should be able to control the pace of the game being the better team. We also note that the Hawks are 10 in posessions per game (on the rise) and the Hornets the number 16 team in the league so here again we get the better team playing fast basketball which will force Charlotte into a similar scenario. The public consensus for this game is 93% in favor of the under so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 211.4 so a 204.5 OVER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and we even have the AI predictor slightly on our side in this one as well..
Atlanta Hawks at Charlotte Hornets - Monday, March 20, 2017 7:05 PM
603 Atlanta Hawks +6 -110 +205
604 Charlotte Hornets -6 -110 -245
603 Atlanta Hawks Over 204½ -110
604 Charlotte Hornets Under 204½ -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
OVER 204.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
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