Pick #1 – Orlando Magic at Sacramento Kings
NCAA march madness is only a few sweet days away but lucky for us its basketball mania this month we get an 8 game NBA basketball run tonight to appease our betting wishes as we set our sights on the Orlando Magic (24-43) versus the Sacramento Kings (25-41) in a non featured event that pits the bad against the bad. This pick already shows a little favor to us from the word go as some books OVER/UNDER line started at 207.5 and we are now seeing plenty of downwards jumps and have now ultimately settled on a 207 over / under giving us a nice opening hint as to where the smart money went. Breaking down the contest even further we take note that the total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 10 games and that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing Sacramento putting historical and match up specific metrics on our side in this one. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 202.48 and 212.15 and the offense is just not there on either side to support this high of a total. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 58–71-1 and we will be a very close eye on this trend for these two awful offensive teams. When it comes to pace of play Orlando is 19 and Sacramento is 27 giving us a situation where we get the slow of the slow playing even more poorly then usual on offense. We also note that the Magic are 19 in possessions per game (falling off drastically) and the Kings are the number 20 team in the league so here again we get two teams at the bottom of the offensive ranges really setting the stage for a low scoring affair. The public consensus for this game is 58% in favor of the under so its a toss up for the crowd which will not shy us away from this reliable read. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 210.3 so a 207 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go even if off slightly from the AI predictor.
Orlando Magic at Sacramento Kings - Monday, March 13, 2017 10:35 PM
515 Orlando Magic +1 -110 -103
516 Sacramento Kings -1 -110 -117
515 Orlando Magic Over 207 -110
516 Sacramento Kings Under 207 -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 207 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
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