Pick #1 – Indiana Pacers at San Antonio Spurs
The all star break was just a minor bump in the action and tonight we get a full 11 game slate of NBA basketball as we narrow down our interest on the Indiana Pacers (31-29) versus the San Antonio Spurs (45-13) giving us one of the best and slowest at home playing refreshed which should lead to plenty of paced down basketball. This bet is appealing from the start as it opened at a 211 OVER/UNDER line and has now fallen to a 207.5 over / under providing strong insight as to where the sharp bettors are placing their faith. Breaking down the match up even further we take note that the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games on the road and that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing San Antonio giving us both past and recent history of these two teams simply playing paced down basketball and especially against one another in the home environment of a dominating and snail like Spurs team. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 212.37 and 204.63 and it will be the Spurs stifling defense at home that will be looking towards bringing this one home. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 63–55 so we should fully expect an extreme regression back to a .500 record making the OVER play yet another great value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Indiana is 15 and San Antonio Spurs is 26 and we will gladly take this high UNDER as once again we get the better, slower team playing on their home court. We also note that the Pacers are 14 in possessions per game (dropping) and the Spurs are the number 27 team in the league so here again we get two teams that are not performing as optimally offensively as they once were setting us up for a nice play on an over estimated line. The public consensus for this game is 53% in favor of the OVER so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 202.6 so a 207.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and we get the cherry on top with the AI predictor brain also agreeing.
Indiana Pacers at San Antonio Spurs - Wednesday, March 01, 2017 8:35 PM
515 Indiana Pacers +10 -110 +425
516 San Antonio Spurs -10 -110 -550
515 Indiana Pacers Over 207.5 -110
516 San Antonio Spurs Under 207.5 -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 207.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
Picks By TexasMatt
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