Pick #1 – Utah Jazz at Brooklyn Nets
2017 is finally upon as we look to start the New Year off with a win and look to bet the NBA basketball game between the Utah Jazz (21-13) versus the Brooklyn Nets (8-24) which pits the slow against the fast and good against the bad where the slow and good should win giving way to a nice UNDER play. This pick looks appealing from the start as the sharp money is already moving this 207.5 OVER/UNDER down to a 204 over / under giving us a strong read on this UNDER pick from the get go. Breaking down game semantics further we see that the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games and the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games on the road and it should be Utah taking the game pace into their hands here. In addition to this the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games and we are simply getting a Nets team that is not playing at the pace they once were. The recent offensive and deffensive performance statistics give us averages of 204.94 and 209.54 which shows the offense simply will not be enough to overcome the pace giving us some nice value on the UNDER. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 36-29-1 so we should fully expect a regression back to the mean towards the UNDER happening soon and we will gladly ride that steam. When it comes to pace of play Utah is deadlast in leage at 30 and Brooklyn is 1 and we get the slowest team in the league as a favorite so we can rest assured this will be a paced down game favoring the UNDER. Equally favorable the Jazz are 30 in posessions per game and the Nets are the number 2 team in the league (dropping drastically) so there should be absolutely no absence of a slowed down game by the visitors who should easily control the tempo. The public consensus for this game is 54% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 199 so a 204 UNDER play given all the above looks like the winner we need to bring home our winning pick of 2017.
Utah Jazz at Brooklyn Nets - Monday, January 02, 2017 7:35 PM
505 Utah Jazz -6½ -110 -290
506 Brooklyn Nets +6½ -110 +245
505 Utah Jazz Over 204 -110
506 Brooklyn Nets Under 204 -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 204 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
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