Pick #1 – Orlando Magic at Chicago Bulls
Fresh week,fresh start and we are going to pick up our focus on the Orlando Magic (3-3) at Chicago Bulls (3-3) as each team takes there shot at going above .500. The savvy money has jumped all over this NBA total knocking it down from a 205 opening line all the way down to a 199 line and leading us to our first lean on the UNDER here. Diving into more facts and stats we see that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Chicago and that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Orlando so we get two teams facing off here are accustomed to slow and low scoring games against each other. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 205.4 and 205.6 respectively so this a situational and set up lay we are really looking at here. The total combined OVER/UNDER record for the year for both teams equals up to a 4-7-1 mark so its clear the odds makers have been off in favor of the UNDER so far for these teams and here we pick up another example of that. When it comes to pace of play Orlando is 26th overall and the league and Chicago is 23rd so this game should move at a snails pace which highly favors our side. Even more promising is that the Magic are 27th in possessions per game and the Bulls rank 25th so the scoring chances should be few and far between in this one. The public consensus for this game is 57% in favor of the OVER so were taking a small bit of a contrarian line tonight. The computer predicted outcome of this one is 206 so its all the other vital factors we will look to when bringing this UNDER 199 win home.
Orlando Magic at Chicago Bulls - Monday, November 07, 2016 8:05 PM
709 Orlando Magic +7 -110 +240
710 Chicago Bulls -7 -110 -280
709 Orlando Magic Over 199 -110
710 Chicago Bulls Under 199 -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 199 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
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