Pick #1 – Los Angeles Clippers at Milwaukee Bucks
Its Friday and not only does that mean the weekend is almost here but also that we get a 10 game slate of NBA basketball an tonight we dial in on the Los Angeles Clippers (36-24) versus the Milwaukee Bucks (26-33) presenting a game that features the good versus the mediocre. This pick jumps off the page at first sight as it opened in some books as high as 216 OVER/UNDER line and has now plummeted to a 211.5 over / under really highlighting just where the sharp money has been channeling. Breaking down the contest even further we take note that total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 7 games (4/6 for the Bucks) and that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee presenting us with both past and recent evidence of these two teams simply playing paced down basketball which bodes very well for our side. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 213.10 and 210.35 and it will be the defense and recent trends that we will be looking towards when it comes to taking this one down. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 68–51 so we should fully expect a strong pull back to even ground making the OVER play yet another great opportunity to be in. When it comes to pace of play Los Angeles is 18 and Milwaukee is 21 presenting us two teams in the bottom third in the league in terms of offensive output which should lead to some lackluster scoring in sports like these. We also note that the Clippers are 18 in possessions per game and the Bucks are the number 21 team in the league (dropping significantly) so here again we get two very slow teams with one sinking farther down the depth charts at a rapid rate which is still not being reflected in the lines. The public consensus for this game is 56% in favor of the OVER so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 205 so a 211.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and we get the final confidence builder with the AI predictor brain also agreeing.
Los Angeles Clippers at Milwaukee Bucks - Friday, March 03, 2017 8:05 PM
829 Los Angeles Clippers -5 -110 -200
830 Milwaukee Bucks +5 -110 +170
829 Los Angeles Clippers Over 211½ -110
830 Milwaukee Bucks Under 211½ -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 211.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
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