Pick #1 – Philadelphia 76ers at Cleveland Cavaliers
The weekend is upon us and what an exciting weekend it will be with MLB baseball kicking off on Sunday but before that we plan on enjoying some NBA basketball of course and tonight we get 11 games of entertainment as we zoom in on the Philadelphia 76ers (28-47) versus the Cleveland Cavaliers (47-27) giving us a team that simply does not care anymore versus one of the best in the league who needs this one as they fight for the #1 playoff position. This bet is highly encouraging upon initial glance as some books OVER/UNDER line started at 219 and we are now seeing it continue to be knocked all the down to a 216.5 over / under giving us every reason to believe the sharp money is pulling in the UNDER's direction as the smart play. Diving in depth into the match up we note that the total has gone UNDER in 13 of Philadelphia's last 17 games when playing Cleveland so not only do we get two teams who simple have trouble scoring historically against one another but also if you have watched these two teams closely over the last few days they are just not playing urgent offensive basketball which also sets us up for what should be a low scoring blowout. The season offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 212.16 and 214.25 and we get that oh so valuable scenario where both averages take us to our UNDER goal even at the peak levels of performance. Both teams OVER/UNDER combined record for the year is 78–67-4 and so we should fully expect an extreme regression back to a .500 record making the UNDER play yet another great value spot to be in. When it comes to pace of play Philadelphia is 5 and Cleveland is 16 and Cleveland should be able to control this pace all day with there slower style of basketball. We also note that the 76ers are 5 in possessions per game (on the decline) and the Cavaliers the number 17 team in the league (falling also) and its these teams recent performances that have us in a great position to get a low scoring affair here. The public consensus for this game is 60% in favor of the over so we get the nice general consensus and public fade that we always like to have on our side in this one as well. The computer predicted scoring outcome of this game is 215.6 so a 216.5 UNDER play given all the above looks like it should get us where we need to go and we even have the AI predictor slightly on our side in this one as well..
Philadelphia 76ers at Cleveland Cavaliers - Friday, March 31, 2017 7:35 PM
505 Philadelphia 76ers +9½ -110 +415
506 Cleveland Cavaliers -9½ -110 -525
505 Philadelphia 76ers Over 216.5 -110
506 Cleveland Cavaliers Under 216.5 -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 216.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
Picks By TexasMatt
Help keep the FREE Picks coming. Sign up for an account at one of my recommended sports books.