Pick #1 – Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks
As one team develops young talent and looks to next year another gears up a wiley group of veterans for yet another major playoff push.. While the Nuggets are slipping into NBA oblivion and currently have a 5-5 record over there last 10 games the Mavericks are struggling a bit as late with 4-6 record over the same stretch but still have there focus on a NBA playoff birth. Both teams can certainly score some serious points on any given night and Dallas (30-28) and Denver (23-35) should give us a hard battle entrenched in fast play. Only one injury to report and that is Denver's Wilson Chandler (hip) which should have absolutely no bearing on the outcome of this game. The Nuggets and Mavericks have both not been on the ball defensively as of late giving this game a great chance of seeing some offensive production. Over these two teams last 10 head to head matchups the over/under is a stalemate at -5-5 but both are on the offensive upswing. While the above is a nice start to a pick evaluation in order to get a true feel for how strong of a value bet this is lets dive a little further into the data. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games and the The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games which it makes it hard to deny where this game is most likely heading. There is no denying the speed and offensive prowess these two team are currently playing with currently. While the offensive and defensive 10 game averages for these two teams workout together to a mere totals of 205.1 and 205.2 points per game respectively so its the current pace of play and recent trends we are really relying on here. We have to love all these signs point in the direction of the over. The point spread for this NBA over/under begin at 209.5 and has not moved but we still have to feel great about taking an over position here given the info above. The smart money likes the over side of this bet as well as we are seeing a nice 63% consensus here. There is no very recent head to head mathup trends to review here so we have to feel like this one is going to be an offensive affair where both teams have little direct knowledge of there current opponent. Lets trust the formula and take the OVER 209.5 and feel good about our chances of seeing this pick come to fruition.
Friday, February 26, 2016 8:35 PM
851 Denver Nuggets +5½
852 Dallas Mavericks -5½
851 Denver Nuggets Over 209½
852 Dallas Mavericks Under 209½
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
Over 209.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
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