NBA Picks Friday 11/4/2016 – MIA vs. TOR

Pick #1 – Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors​

We get another absolute perfect set up as the Miami Heat (2-2) go abroad to take on the Toronto Raptors (3-1) in what should be a high flying affair. The Heat's Wayne Ellington appears to be the only player on the injury fence for tonight so it should be full throttle on the scoring gas. Right out of the gate the smart money has taken this NBA total from an original 197 open line to 200.5 line giving us our first indication as to where this OVER bet will most likely be heading. Diving into more key numbers we notice that the total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games and the total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road as this contest should be uptempo. Further adding fuel to the scoring fire we take note that the total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games and that the total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home so were really getting a nice combo attack here. The trends continue as the total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami so this really is a match made in OVER heaven. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 196.25 and 206 respectively so the offense should be able to push this one up to where we need it. The total combined OVER/UNDER record for the year for both teams combined is 6-2 as each of these teams have begin the year pushing the pace and putting the ball in the hole. Miami is top 15 in pace of play so we look to them who should be down all game to really have step this encouraging stat up even more. The public consensus for this game is 74% in favor of the OVER so everything points to one side again. The computer predicted outcome of this one is 203 as we hit every important marker to make us fell great about loading this OVER 200.5 up at the books.

Game Time:
Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors - Friday, November 04, 2016 7:35 PM

Spread:
505 Miami Heat +7½ -110 +265
506 Toronto Raptors -7½ -110 -325

Total:
505 Miami Heat Over 200½ -110
506 Toronto Raptors Under 200½ -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
OVER 200.5 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt