NBA Picks Friday 11/18/2016 – DET vs. CLE

​Pick #1 – Detroit Pistons at Cleveland Cavaliers

We find ourselves in a battle of two Eastern heavyweights tonight as the Detroit Pistons (6-6) go up against the Cleveland Cavaliers (9-2) and what should be a defensive display by both teams to establish there dominance. Sharp bettors have already moved this opening NBA 206.5 over / under line down to 203.5 really highlighting what the numbers are telling us and that is a slow paced low scoring game. Sifting through more vital facts and stats we see that the total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games showcasing just how off the odds makers have been lately in understanding this year Pistons team dynamic. We also notice that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games which means we get two teams facing off tonight that are playing much slower basketball then what is being currently predicted. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 207.58 and 201.37 respectively so were going to be relying on each teams defense to really bring this one home which based off averages we get there. The total combined OVER/UNDER record for the year for both teams gives us a record 8-14-1 so lots of value when taking the UNDER in this spot given the conditions. When it comes to pace of play Cleveland is 11 overall and Detroit is 23 and anytime we get two teams out of the top 10 it should make for a slow offensive night. Just as promising the Cavs are 12 in possessions per game (dropping) while the Pistons come in at 26 (dropping also) so its going to be a real uphill battle for buckets tonight on either side. The public consensus for this game is 68% in favor of the over play so while against us were going to take a different route given all of the above. The computer predicted outcome of this one is 206 so its going to be the many other factors to rely on here that should easily sneak us into this 203.5 UNDER play.

Game Time:
Detroit Pistons at Cleveland Cavaliers - Friday, November 18, 2016 7:35 PM

Spread:
505 Detroit Pistons +8.5 -110
506 Cleveland Cavaliers -8.5 -110

Total:
505 Detroit Pistons Over 203.5 -110
506 Cleveland Cavaliers Under 203.5 -110

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
UNDER 203.5 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt