Pick #1 – Philadelphia 76ers at Houston Rockets
Here we are starting off the week with a Monday plate of great games and for this NBA slate we set our sights on the Philadelphia 76ers (1-8) versus the Houston Rockets (5-4) which pits terrible against mediocre. The sharp money has made its statement on this opening NBA 216.5 over / under line knocking it down two points to a 213.5 setting us up for some nice value on the UNDER. Picking apart more facts and stats we see that the total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games at home really highlighting the fact that the odds makers are simply not getting the Rockets game flow at home yet. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 203.44 and 214.89 respectively so we get a nice set up spread here that highly favors our UNDER side. The total combined OVER/UNDER record for the year for both teams equals up to a mark of 9-9 (Rockets are 0-2 in favor of the UNDER at home) so were once again seeing the leans our way even if ever so slightly as is in this case. When it comes to pace of play Houston is 17 overall and Philadelphia is 14 so two slower paced teams that certainly can not justify the line here. Even more promising is that Houston is 20 in possessions per game and dropping so they are really taking there time this up and down the floor as compared to last year which is clearly giving the odds makers fits. The public consensus for this game is 64% in favor of the over play so while against us the numbers are leading us otherwise in this spot. The computer predicted outcome of this one is 214 so all we need is for that to hold but most likely we take this one hoe much easier as the offenses should be locked up and slowed down for this one make the UNDER 213.5 a perfect play out of tonight's lot.
Philadelphia 76ers at Houston Rockets - Monday, November 14, 2016 8:05 PM
509 Philadelphia 76ers +11½ -110 +600
510 Houston Rockets -11½ -110 -900
509 Philadelphia 76ers Over 213½ -110
510 Houston Rockets Under 213½ -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 213.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
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