Pick #1 – New York Knicks at Boston Celtics
Picking it back up there are a ton of great games this Friday and we set our sights on the New York Knicks (3-4) at Boston Celtics (3-4) which features a tale of two teams trying to reach .500. The smart money has shown itself in a major here bringing this opening NBA 216.5 over / under line down to a 213.5 giving us every reason to believe the value is on the UNDER. Dissecting more facts and stats we see that the total has gone UNDER in 10 of Boston's last 14 games so the odds makers are clearly off when assessing the Celtics lately. On top of this the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing New York and the total has gone UNDER in 11 of Boston's last 15 games when playing at home against New York so we also get a clear situational value play on the under here as well. The recent offensive and defensive performance statistics give us averages of 211 and 220.57 respectively so were counting on the slower offenses to bring this one home for us. The total combined OVER/UNDER record for the year for both teams equals up to a mark 6-8 (Celtics are 1-3 in favor of the UNDER at home) so the odds once again all on our side. When it comes to pace of play Boston is 14 overall and New York is 16 so these are two teams that are now playing on the slower side. Even more promising is that Boston is 16 in possessions per game and the Knicks rank 30 (dropping quickly) so this game should be to slow to justify this total. The public consensus for this game is 79% in favor of the UNDER so just one more reason to love the pick. The computer predicted outcome of this one is 217 so its the other details were turning to get us to this UNDER 213.5.
New York Knicks at Boston Celtics - Friday, November 11, 2016 7:35 PM
709 New York Knicks +5½ -110 +185
710 Boston Celtics -5½ -110 -225
709 New York Knicks Over 213½ -110
710 Boston Celtics Under 213½ -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 213.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
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