NBA Pick Monday 12/28/2015 – TOR vs. CHI

Well the curse of the Pacers continues. They did it to us again and this time it was a two unit heartbreaker. This was second time we lost the Pacers over/under total by a bucket both of which being the only bets to spoil an otherwise perfect week. It always hurts to lose a bet by a bucket especially in basketball where your just a bounce of the ball or blow of the whistle away from your bet going in the right instead of wrong direction. For the Pacers totals being the only losses of the week we will give them the holiday ugly sweater award for eating into our units and curtailing the chase to getting that sweater we always wanted. Even more ironic is today I like a side on the Pacers game but will stay away just to avoid yet another one bucket disaster. It will be better to just study their pace of play for a few games and see why the numbers keep coming out the way that they are. So what are some of the more +EV bets for the today? Lets take a look at the side where I think we can pick up some expected value (EV).

​Pick #1 – Toronto Raptors at Chicago Bulls

This looks like a great game to go over as both teams have really been firing on all cylinders lately. The last five Chicago games in a row would have gone over this total and the exact same holds true for Toronto pointing all signs to lots of points tonight. It has been very clear the last few games that Derrick Rose is now playing at a much better level and now Mirotic is also coming along in his new starting role. With Gibson, Butler and Gasol also always giving strong performances the Bulls are putting up new offensive numbers unseen previously. DeMarre Carroll just game back from injury and looked great in his first injury minute restricted game back giving the Raptors a nice boost in offense. Terrance Ross, Lowry and DeRozen are playing great lately and putting up there usual high scoring numbers giving this game all the makings of a high scoring affair. On top of all of the above both teams combined scoring average is 201 while the defenses give up a combined 196.5 giving us that rare combo where both teams average on both sides of the ball over the total. Lets look to pick up some value from these two teams on a hot scoring streak and grab the over at 197 while we have the chance.

Game Time:
Monday, December 28, 2015 8:05 PM

Spread:
711 Toronto Raptors +1½
712 Chicago Bulls -1½

Total:
711 Toronto Raptors Over 197
712 Chicago Bulls Under 197

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
Over 197 (2 Units)​

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games!

Picks By TexasMatt