Pick #1 – Texas Rangers at Cincinnati Reds
The contest were gearing up for tonight is the Texas Rangers (73-53) versus the Cincinnati Reds (54-71) and its a face off between two teams moving in opposite directions of the playoff race. We get a nice start to the pick as the savvy money has already taken the opening spread of 8.5 and pressed this over/under MLB total down to an 8 UNDER highlighting where this bet should be going. Breaking down some of the more critical stats for this game we see that the The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Texas's last 22 games. This key trend should play a huge role in this bet coming to fruition as Texas is locking down on both sides of the ball and this should play well in our favor here. These two teams met just yesterday and managed a score of only 0-3 so the offenses really seems to be lagging on both sides and should really provide some value here. Both teams will look to stay on the same stellar pitching and defense path and the public consensus seems to agree strongly on this as well because we get this MLB total spread reporting a 63% public push towards the UNDER. The Texas Rangers create 4.62 runs this year and the Oakland Athletics reach on average 4.48 so this is an extremely situational and matchup specific play when choosing the UNDER in this unique interleague stand off. While the park factor for this game is a questionable +117 the wind is blowing in at 11 mph so the balls should be staying in the park while being met with resistance. The weather at Great American Ballpark is looking like 85°F, Mostly Sunny , Humidity is 71% , Wind is S 8 mph so a very nice environment for the bats to get silenced. A final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher Yu Darvish (R) has a stifling 2.33 ERA in August. He also just demolishes left handed hitting giving up a miniscule .188 ERA (4/9 LH hitters on the Reds). Also Tim Adleman (R) has been pitching on another level at home with a 2.03 ERA. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 9.4 so its all of the variables above that make us feel great that 8 runs will not be reached and the UNDER is the ideal play given a review of all factors and conditions.
Texas Rangers at Cincinnati Reds - Wednesday, August 24, 2016 7:10 PM
977 Texas Rangers -1½ -115 -173
978 Cincinnati Reds +1½ -105 +163
977 Texas Rangers Over 8 -125
978 Cincinnati Reds Under 8 +105
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 8 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
Picks By TexasMatt
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