Pick #1 – Cleveland Indians at Washington
The game were going to hone in on for today's slate is the Cleveland Indians (63-47) versus the Washington Nationals (66-46) and should be a tight exchange of two teams teetering at the top. Were already starting off on the right foot for this one as the smart money has already challenged the line enough to move it from an 8.5 over/under MLB total down a half run to an even 8 giving us a solid opening positional read on the UNDER. Breaking open some of the essential numbers for this game we see that the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games and the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home so its pretty evident offense is on the premium for Nationals home games right now. In addition to this the total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 12 games when playing Washington and the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington so needless to say this has all the makings of yet another UNDER affair. These two teams played yesterday to a 3-1 Indians win further proving these team are simply not producing much on offense and rather focusing on defense as of late. Both teams look to continue their stellar pitching and defense and the public consensus seems to at last some what agree as this MLB total spread is registering a 55% public money siding with the UNDER. The Cleveland Indians produce 4.97 runs this year and the Washington Nationals show up with 4.67 so this is a very situational play when contemplating the UNDER. The park factor for this game is a reasonable -98 rating so very nice conditions for the bats to slowdown while the pitchers to excel. The weather at Nationals Park is looking like 97°F, Mostly Sunny , Humidity is 58% and Wind is S 15 mph so a very nice environment for the bats to get lulled to sleep. A final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher Josh Tomlin (R) has been pitching impeccable on the road with an enticing 3.44 ERA this year. He also just smokes past left handed hitting giving up a minuscule 2.28 ERA(5/9 LH hitters on the Nationals). Also Gio Gonzalez (L) has been pitching on another level in August with a 1.29 ERA. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 8.2 so no big prediction favoritism for this bet but we have to feel great about getting the UNDER here at 8 which should take us home to victory.
Cleveland Indians at Washington Nationals - Wednesday, August 10, 2016 4:05 PM
975 Cleveland Indians +1½ -200 +111
976 Washington Nationals -1½ +170 -121
975 Cleveland Indians Over 8 -110
976 Washington Nationals Under 8 -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 8 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
Picks By TexasMatt
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