Pick #1 – Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers
Playoff baseball has been amazing so far this year and tonight we get the Chicago Cubs (107-61) against the Los Angeles Dodgers (96-74) in a duel that might be seeing the dreams of many in Chi town slip away. This pick starts off with all the makings of a solid play as the opening number on the total of 7.5 has now dropped to 7 thanks to an early sharp money push which we will gladly trail. Were getting all the right signals for this one and that is reinforced by stats such as the total has gone UNDER in 14 of LA Dodgers's last 17 games when playing Chi Cubs. On top of this the total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs so we get an absolute gem of a situation to ride these staggering trends to another win. Both teams take a must win attitude into tonight and the public consensus seems to think this will mean lock down pitching again as 59% are siding with us on the UNDER. The Chicago Cubs produce 4.93 runs this year (a ridiculously low 3.6 runs in the postseason) and the Los Angeles Dodgers output 4.44 runs on the year so its with scoring trends shaping up the way they are this one has UNDER written all over it. The park factor for this game is a very nice -97 so we get Mother Nature on our side for this one as well. The weather at Dodger Stadium is looking like 64°F, Sunny, Humidity is 76% and the Wind is blowing Northeast 4 mph so the pitchers are really getting some ideal conditions to take the mound tonight. Another really favorable part of this UNDER bet is the fact that both the Cubs and Dodgers have elite closing staffs making late inning runs almost obsolete in this series. One of the best parts of this pick is that we get a John Lackey (R) pitching who has a 1.80 ERA over this last week so its clear he is in true playoff form. We also get starting pitcher Julio Urias (L) who has a September ERA of 1.93 so we get two pitchers coming in on the top of their game. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 6.8 so the UNDER 7 play gets all the right leans and at a +105 we should be super happy to grab a bunch value in this spot for all of the reasons above.
Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers - Wednesday, October 19, 2016 8:05 PM
901 Chicago Cubs -1½ +155 -107
902 Los Angeles Dodgers +1½ -175 -103
901 Chicago Cubs Over 7 -125
902 Los Angeles Dodgers Under 7 +105
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 7 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
Picks By TexasMatt
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