Pick #1 – Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants
The game that is the standout on tonight's scheduled slate is the Atlanta Braves (47-81) versus the San Francisco Giants (69-58) which is a story of one team headed to the top while the other continues the slide to obscurity. One of our favorite betting parameters leads the charge as we notice the over/under total spread for this MLB game opened at 7.5 and has since shot up to an 8 a great indication that the expert bets have shown their side. Looking at some of the other vital facts to support this type of line movement are the facts that the total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games and the total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games on the road. On top of this the total has gone OVER in 8 of San Francisco's last 12 games and the total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games at home. If that was not enough we also get on our side the fact that the total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta so all initial signs truly point to go in this one. The Giants really need to keep their amazing season going and the public consensus seems to think this great run may continue as they have this MLB total spread at an encouraging 70% rating towards the OVER. The Atlanta Braves produce 3.73 runs on the season per game and the San Francisco Giants output offensively at a rate of 4.45 runs on average for the year so this is one of those promising times where the averages push us up and OVER the magic mark of 8. The weather at AT&T Park is looking like 60°F, Mostly Sunny , Humidity is 87% and Wind is S 10 mph so the bats should have no problem shining in this contest. Another stat we have to feel happy about that points to the OVER in this battle is the point that the Braves are dealing with a spotty and uncertain bullpen recently so if the Giants can work past Joel De La Cruz (R) early it should get nasty in terms of runs crossing the plate. A final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher Joel De La Cruz (R) sports an ERA of 9.53 over the last week of work. He also shaky away from home giving up a robust 5.23 ERA when on the road. Also Jeff Samardzija (R) gives up on the year an ERA of 7.20 to the Atlanta Braves specifically so this should be a wild one to say the least. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 10 so at this point the OVER 8 is looking like a layup in almost every scenario possible.
Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants - Friday, August 26, 2016 10:15 PM
963 Atlanta Braves +1½ -115 +200
964 San Francisco Giants -1½ -105
963 Atlanta Braves Over 8 -110
964 San Francisco Giants Under 8 -110
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
OVER 8 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
Picks By TexasMatt
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