Pick #1 – New York Yankees at New York Mets
Well its the start of the battle of the Big Apple and that will be the focus of tonight's bet as the New York Yankees (52-52) versus the New York Mets (54-50) both of which are fighting for a playoff run and to stay above .500. This pick gets us excited right out of the gate as the smart money has already spoken and shifted the line from 8.5 to 8 on the MLB over/under total for this MLB giving us every indication that this game has a strong chance of hitting on the UNDER. Diving right into some of the notable statistics for this stand off we see that the total has gone UNDER in 15 of NY Mets's last 19 games and the total has gone UNDER in 13 of NY Yankees's last 16 games so we get two teams that have been really struggling to find the scoreboard lately while also doing a great job on the defensive side of equation. In addition to this the total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Mets's last 10 games at home and the total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees so were really getting a very stadium and team specific opportunity tonight where almost every variable is favoring the UNDER. Both teams look to heat up down the stretch and for these teams that means bringing out the defensive clamps and the public consensus seems to feel top level defense and pitching will be the focus as well as this MLB total spread is coming in at a strong 60% on the UNDER. The New York Yankees produce 4.03 runs this year and the New York Mets produce 3.66 runs on average for the season so the standard production from these teams gets us to the UNDER mark easily. The park factor for this game is also an appealing -90 on the scale with 15 MPH winds blowing in and starred as a pitchers advantage so just ideal conditions for a low scoring affair. The weather at Citi Field is reporting currently at 81°F, Mostly Sunny, Humidity is 73%, Wind is NE 12 mph so an extremely nice setup for lockdown pitching. One great aspect of this pick is that both teams have an elite closing staff right now so at no point in this game should things get out of hand as far as scoring goes. A final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher L. Verrett (R) is pitching the best he has all year with a solid 3.86 ERA over the last 7 days. He also just crushes at home and showcases a .329 while on his home turf. Also C. Sabathia (L) has been pitching his best lately as well with a 7 day ERA of 2.70. He also thrives on the road sporting a stingy 3.28 ERA while away from Yankee Stadium. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 7.1 so all signs point perfectly to go on the UNDER here at 8 and we shold be really happy getting this bet in.
New York Yankees at New York Mets - Monday, August 01, 2016 7:10 PM
915 New York Yankees -1½ +150 -112
916 New York Mets +1½ -170 +102
915 New York Yankees Over 8 +100
916 New York Mets Under 8 -120
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
UNDER 8 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
Picks By TexasMatt
Help keep the FREE Picks coming. Sign up for an account at one of my recommended sports books.