Pick #1 – Cleveland Indians at Seattle Mariners
Second series set of the year for these two American League foes the two teams are now starting to get a nice understanding of each others game. The Indians are 6-4 over their last 10 games and heating up while the Mariners are slumping a bit and playing 3-7 ball over their last 10 battles and will be looking to pick up some momentum from a new home stand. The game were picking to bet tonight is the Cleveland Indians (31-24) versus the Seattle Mariners (31-25) who are both playing winning baseball and big bat baseball at that. Starting by examining some of the key trends we see that the total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 10 games so its clear the Indians bats ar on point right. The total has also gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games at home so we know the Mariners are bringing it on the home front as of late. Even better the total has gone OVER in 11 of Seattle's last 12 games so its clear both teams are scoring serious runs lately. These are strong trends towards the OVER that we should highly consider when starting to form the foundation of our play. There has already been 3 games played between these two teams this year so we have already have a nice history to start from. The last game between these two team was a 10-7 run out so these teams can no doubt put up runs against each other. One aspect of this game that really favors us is the fact that the last time Trevor Bauer pitched against the Mariners her served up 9 runs. These two teams have been highly offensive lately and the public consensus seems to confirm this as the MLB total is a nice and compelling 71% on the OVER. The Mariners produce 5.12 runs this year and the Indians show up with 4.87 runs on average for the year so we over hitting nicely over the mark we need to be at. The weather at Safeco Field is 77°F, Sunny , Humidity is 59%, Wind is North 7 mphi so perfect conditions for the bats to let it go. The total over/under spread for this MLB game opened at 8 and moved to 8.5 so we get our favorite factor in our favor which is the money move. A nice final point to this pick is the fact that starting pitchers J. Paxton (L) and T. Bauer (R) combine for a 11.63 ERA giving us a strong lean towards the OVER. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 10.7 so lets roll with the OVER at 8.5 and feel really good about our expected value.
Cleveland Indians at Seattle Mariners - Monday, June 06, 2016 10:10 PM
917 Cleveland Indians +1½
918 Seattle Mariners -1½
917 Cleveland Indians Over 8½
918 Seattle Mariners Under 8½
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
OVER 8.5 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
Picks By TexasMatt
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