Pick #1 – Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins
The contest were breaking down for tonight is the Chicago White Sox (63-70) versus the Minnesota Twins (50-84) which is a showcase of two teams looking to build for next year. We are intrigued from the outset of this pick as the sharp money has already shifted this over/under total line from 8.5 to 9 giving us every reason to believe the OVER is the optimal play. Diving right into some of the vital stats for this contest we note that the total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 10 games and the total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home leaving little doubt as to what the Twins bats have been capable of lately. In addition to this the total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games on the road and the total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox so we really get two very hot hitting teams facing off. When these two teams played yesterday the score was 5-8 really highlighting the fact these two ball clubs have no issues hitting high run totals when facing off against eachother lately. Both teams look to continue lighting up the scoreboard and the public consensus seems the trend will continue as this MLB over/under total is swaying heavily to one side with a 70% push towards the OVER. The Minnesota Twins produce 4.56 runs this year and the Chicago White Sox show up with 4.06 runs on average for the season so we get right near our OVER pick even under normal scoring circumstances. The park factor for this game is a not so great -96 rating but we do get an 11 MPH wind blowing right to left which should be a big help in keeping the ball moving away from the defense. The weather at Target Field is looking like 67°F, Mostly Sunny, Humidity is 70% and the Wind is SE 10 mph so very nice conditions for the bats to be lively. A final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher Kyle Gibson (R) has been pitching terrible as of late with a 6.75 ERA over the last seven days. He also just gets ripped by left handed hitting giving up a bloated .332 batting average (4/9 LH hitters on the White Sox tonight) which should make for a tough start and plenty of scoring opportunities. Also Carlos Rodon (L) has not faired well against right handed hitting this year serving up a batting average of .290 (6/9 RH hitters on the Twins) so lots of chances for the score to be run up in this one. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 10.2 so there should be no road blocks in the way for this one to easily hit OVER 9 making this a great value pick for today's slate.
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins - Friday, September 02, 2016 8:10 PM
921 Chicago White Sox +1½ -220 -103
922 Minnesota Twins -1½ +180 -107
921 Chicago White Sox Over 9 +100
922 Minnesota Twins Under 9 -120
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
OVER 9 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
Picks By TexasMatt
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