Pick #1 – Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox
The game were firing at tonight is the Los Angeles Angels (32-47) versus the Boston Red Sox (42-36) who both have a propensity to produce when facing Boston at home. Right out of the gate we see one of our favorite markers moving the preference needles as the total over/under spread for this MLB game opened at 9.5 and has now creeped up to 10 giving us every impression that the savvy bettors are on the OVER today in this one. Delving into some of the other key trends we notice that the total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games and the The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games so both these teams are clearly giving up and getting runs at a high frequency. These next numbers display just how great of a matchup specific set we get tonight as the total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 12 games when playing at home against LA Angels. These are highly favorable leans towards the OVER that we should really feel confident about in tonights selection. About a half a week ago these two teams played a double header resulting in a 3-7 score in game one and a 1-11 score in game two so these teams can clearly easily put up these types of numbers and the public consensus today agrees as this MLB is hitting at 62% currently. The Los Angeles Angels produce 4.22 runs this year and the Red Sox show up with 5.56 runs on average for the season so we get to the OVER based on basic averages alone. The park factor for this game is out of this world with a +101 rating, A Gold Star hitter rating and a nice strong 18 mph breeze out to left center. The weather at Fenway Park is looking like 98°F, Mostly Sunny, Humidity is 43% , Wind is SSW 16-18 mph. Another factor we have to really like that points to the OVER in this one is the fact that the Angels have been having a questionable bullpen so if the Red Sox can get through J. Chacin (R) which should not be a problem and it could get ugly quick. A final and most important point to this pick is the fact that starting pitcher J. Chacin (R) is pitching questionably as of late with a 7 day ERA of 7.71 and an on the road ERA of 6.02. He also shighly truggles with right handed hitting (5/9 RH hitters on Red Sox tonight) which should pose problems for him against the Red Sox. Also S. Wright (R) has posted a 5.79 ERA in his last week of hurling while giving it up more to right handed hitters as well (6/9 LH hitters on Angels). The computer predicted score for this matchup is 11.7 so lets roll with the OVER at 10 and hopefully pull out yet another win.
Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox - Friday, July 01, 2016 7:10 PM
967 Los Angeles Angels +1½ +100 +195
968 Boston Red Sox -1½ -120 -215
967 Los Angeles Angels Over 10 -105
968 Boston Red Sox Under 10 -115
Betting odds provided by 5Dimes
OVER 10 (2 Units)
As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!
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