MLB Picks Friday 10/7/2016 – BOS vs. CLE

Pick #1 – Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Indians

The playoffs can be a bit tricky betting but lets get back to the formula basics and the hot streak for today's Boston Red Sox (93-70) versus the Cleveland Indians (95-67) opening series game for October glory. Getting back to following the sharp money after last picks disaster we see that the opening 7 over/under MLB betting line has now jumped up to a 7.5 which is always encouraging when thinking about backing some of the best bats in all of baseball. We start to see our read open up a bit more here as we note that the total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games so they are hitting hot right now and when it comes to scoring nobody does it better in the American league then the Red Sox so we really get a nice set up for some runs today. Not only are we getting back taking the smart sides money we also get the public consensus on a nice confidence interval here as 65% and the highest total out of the 4 games today is rolling on the OVER here as well. The Boston Red Sox put up 5.41 runs this year and the Cleveland Indians output 4.8 runs on the year and its really these two teams out of any that can put up some serious runs at any given time. The park factor for this game is an absolutely amazing +100 with a favorable hitters RED star as well as a ridiculous 18 mph wind blowing out making it the first time in awhile we get some nice whether condition in our favor which should provide a huge boost in offensive output. The weather at Progressive Field is looking like 71°F, Sunny, Humidity is 80% and a Wind that is South-southeast 11 -18 mph so just ideal conditions for the bats to get hot. Another part of this bet that helps a lot is that the Indians bullpen has been a bit suspect this year and Boston should have a chance to feast off this in the later innings. Another nice part of this pick is we get Corey Kluber (R) pitching who just does not handle the Red Sox all that well boasting a bloated 4.38 ERA over two games this year. In other good news starting pitcher David Price (R) had a pretty shakey September posting an uncharacteristic 4.35 ERA which is indication he is a bit off his game as of late giving us even more positive variables to work with. The computer predicted score for this matchup is 7.4 so the OVER 7.5 is a fine play given the value we are picking according to the breakdown above.

Game Time:
Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Indians - American League Divisional Series - Game 2 - Friday, October 07, 2016 4:35 PM

Spread:
955 Boston Red Sox +1½ -230 -105
956 Cleveland Indians -1½ +190 -105

Total:
955 Boston Red Sox Over 7½ -105
956 Cleveland Indians Under 7½ -115

Betting odds provided by 5Dimes

The Pick:
OVER 7.5 (2 Units)

As always bet within your means and bankroll. Enjoy the games and be responsible when betting!

Picks By TexasMatt