FREE MLB Pick for July 1st 2014

We had an amazing day yesterday going 4-0 on our VIP card banking an awesome 5.26 units to start the week off!

6/30/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Baseball 952 Washington Nationals* -1½ -102  vs Colorado Rockies
Y Flande - L Listed   J Zimmerman - R Listed
Risking 1.50 To Win 1.47 WINNER

I am backing the Nationals for a big win today. Colorado has been a solid team at home but struggled on the road. They are averaging over 6 runs per game at home but drop to just 3.8 on the road. Washington is starting Jordan Zimmermann who has looked fantastic recently. In his last 5 starts he has allowed only 5 runs. Colorado is countering with Flande who hasn’t played much this year, he enters this game with a 7.2 ERA after pitching 5 innings in a 6-9 loss vs St Louis last week. I like this to be a 4-1 type game.

6/30/2014 8:10 PM MLB Baseball 963 Kansas City Royals* -122  vs Minnesota Twins
D Duffy - L Listed   Y Pino - R Listed
Risking 1.00 To Win 0.82 WINNER

6/30/2014 8:10 PM Reduced Baseball 963 Kansas City Royals* -1½ +135  vs Minnesota Twins
D Duffy - L Listed   Y Pino - R Listed
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.35 WINNER

This one fits as a road run line system play. We are getting a far better pitcher, Duffy ERA 2.69 vs Pino ERA 6.30. The Royals have a better road record 21-17 vs the Twins at home 19-17. KC has a positive run differential (+.15) and Minnesota has a negative (-.36). The Royals have a clear statistical advantage in this game and I am backing them on both the ML and the Run Line.

6/30/2014 10:10 PM MLB Baseball 972 Los Angeles Dodgers* +108  vs Cleveland Indians
C Kluber - R Listed   D Haren - R Listed
Risking 1.50 To Win 1.62 WINNER

This is a great value play with the Dodgers as a home dog. The Dodgers are 7-3 over their last 10 games and the Indians are 3-7. Haren has a slightly better ERA at 3.09 vs Haren at 3.83, but the Dodgers have a far better home record at 21-21 vs the Indians on the road at 16-27. The Indians are 10-7 behind Kluber and the Dodgers are 9-6 behind Haren so basically even there. The main edge here comes from the recent performance, the Dodgers are hot the Indians are not. Back the home team for plus money.

===============

Today - July 1st 2014 we have 2 games and 3 more plays on the VIP card.

Today's FREE play is

7/1/2014 7:10 PM Reduced Baseball 907 Philadelphia Phillies/Miami Marlins* Under 7½ -110 
A Burnett - R Listed   H Alvarez - R Listed
Risking 1.50 To Win 1.38

Neither of these two teams have been batting very well over their last few games, and these are the two best pitchers facing off. Alvarez comes into this game with a record of 5-3 and an ERA of 2.32, the team is actually 11-5 behind him and they have won 9 of his last 10 starts. Burnett is 5-7 on the year with an ERA of 3.69, the team has gone 9-8 behind him as a starter. Miami is averaging 4.7 runs per game at home good for 2nd in the league behind Colorado but over their last 10 they have averaged only 3.6 runs per game. The Phillies have averaged only 2.6 runs over their last 10 games and have lost 8 of them.  The Park Factor is -86 in Miami. These two pitchers faced off a week ago in Philly and Miami win 3-2. I like this to be another low scoring game with Miami taking it 4-2 or something like that.

I like the under best here, you could also put a unit on Miami if you want some additional action.

Lets Get It

Rob

P.S. To Get the FULLY GUARANTEED VIP Plays Click HERE