Email:Sun, Aug 31, 2014 at 10:03 AM 8/31/2014 3:35 PM MLB Baseball 977 Oakland Athletics* +115 vs Los Angeles Angels S Kazmir - L Listed M Shoemaker - R Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 1.15 (Loss) Any time we can get Oakland playing with Kazmir starting at plus money it's a solid play. The As are badly outhitting the Angels since the All Star break, so I like Oakland to give the run support to get a plus money win here. Lets Get it
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Email: Sat, Aug 30, 2014 at 8:42 AM 8/30/2014 12:00 PM Reduced Football 159 UCLA* -18½ -105 vs Virginia Risking 1.00 To Win 0.95 (Loss) 8/30/2014 12:00 PM Reduced Football 164 UAB* +1 -107 vs Troy Risking 1.00 To Win 0.93 (WINNER) Email: Sat, Aug 30, 2014 at 10:45 AM 8/30/2014 3:30 PM Reduced Football 177 Alabama* -23 -108 vs West Virginia Risking 1.50 To Win 1.39 (Loss) 8/30/2014 3:30 PM College Football 177 Alabama* -14 -105 vs West Virginia for 1st Half Risking 1.50 To Win 1.43 (Loss) I am going with Alabama wire to wire. This game is going to be dominated by Defense, which historically west Virginia has not had. I am laying the points on Bama wire to wire. 8/30/2014 5:30 PM Reduced Football 181 Clemson/Georgia* Under 54 -105 Risking 1.00 To Win 0.95 (Loss) Clemson is in for a steady diet of Todd Gurley hard running between the tackles. This game is going to be dominated by the run and Georgia has the best running back in the country. I like Georgia to win this and I like it to go under 54. I like the odds on the under 54 better so that's the play here. Lock it in. Lets Get It Rob Email: Fri, Aug 29, 2014 at 1:58 PM 8/29/2014 10:30 PM Reduced Football 154 Arizona U* -23½ +100 vs UNLV Risking 2.00 To Win 2.00 (WINNER) This one comes down to a couple of factors. First off Arizona was a very good team last year, and they have a lot of returning starters. Arizona had a fantastic finish to their year last year with wins over #5 Oregon and they are up against a UNLV team that has a long history of terrible road performances ATS. Arizona should roll this game tonight, Lay the points and go Wildcats. I am going with BYU -15.5 over UConn for 1 unit (WINNER) Lets Get It Rob Email: Thu, Aug 28, 2014 at 8:52 AM 8/28/2014 8:00 PM Reduced Football 139 Mississippi* -10 -108 vs Boise State Risking 2.00 To Win 1.85 (WINNER) This line has been bouncing back and forth between 10 and 11 so I want to lock it in at 10. Mississippi had a very solid team last year and only lost 5 games, in the toughest conference in College Football. They have a ton of returning starters and a very solid experienced QB in Bo Wallace. They are up against a Broncos team that lost a lot of talent last year including their starting QB who i am sure we all remember from the unfortunate incident at the Hawaii Bowl where the Broncos got pasted by Oregon State. The Rebels will be looking to make a name for themselves this year by getting started with a big win over a previous power house team. Lay the points and take the Rebels. Email: Thu, Aug 28, 2014 at 9:07 AM 8/28/2014 6:00 PM Reduced Football 134 South Carolina* -10 -105 vs Texas A&M Risking 1.50 To Win 1.43 (Loss) I am adding this play to today's card. South Carolina has a very good quality program and an extremely good recruiting program, just look where the #1 overall pick in the NFL draft came from last year. I am going with USC as they have the depth to lose players like Clowney and still put a winning team on the field. I am not as confident that Texas A&M will be anywhere near the team they were last year now that they don't have Mike Evans and Johnny Football. Lay the points and take the Home Team to get a big win tonight. Lets Get It Rob Email: Wed, Aug 27, 2014 at 12:03 PM 8/27/2014 10:05 PM MLB Baseball 979 Miami Marlins* +143 vs Los Angeles Angels H Alvarez - R Listed H Santiago - L Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 1.43 (Loss) 8/27/2014 10:05 PM Reduced Baseball 979 Miami Marlins/Los Angeles Angels* Under 8 -105 H Alvarez - R Listed H Santiago - L Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 0.95 (WINNER) We have a great value play here in the rubber match here. We are getting great odds on Miami tonight. They are starting their Ace Henderson Alvarez who comes into this game riding a 4 game win streak and has only lost 2 games out of his last 10 starts. Alvarez has an ERA of 2.57 which has been very consistent all year long. The Angels counter with Santiago, who comes into this game riding a 4 game losing streak, although he hasn't pitched poorly, the Angels just haven't been able to give him much run support, which has been a trend for them since the All Star break. The total has gone 8 or less in 7 of Santiago's last 8 starts and it has gone 7 of the last 9 with Alvarez on the mound (not counting the Colorado game for obvious reasons). I like Miami to win a close on here tonight. 8/27/2014 9:40 PM Reduced Baseball 961 Los Angeles Dodgers* -1½ -125 vs Arizona Diamondbacks C Kershaw - L Listed W Miley - L Listed Risking 1.50 To Win 1.20 (WINNER) 8/27/2014 9:40 PM Reduced Baseball 961 Los Angeles Dodgers/Arizona Diamondbacks* Under 7 -105 C Kershaw - L Listed W Miley - L Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 0.95 (WINNER) Kershaw will be out looking for redemption tonight after his last outing in Phoenix was a disaster where he got lit up for 7 runs over 1.2 innings. I don't see that happening again tonight as Kershaw has been lights out for opposing teams since that game. Looking at his last 17 starts since that game vs Arizona Kershaw hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in any of them and has an Average of .157. The only way I see this game going over is if LA Blows Arizona out. So with that we are making a middle bet. Take LA -1.5 for 1.5 units and go with the Under for 1 unit. I like this to be a 4-1 or 4-0 type game. 8/27/2014 8:10 PM Reduced Baseball 977 Oakland Athletics* -1½ -105 vs Houston Astros D Pomeranz - L Listed B Peacock - R Listed Risking 1.50 To Win 1.43 (Loss) Oakland has made a living out of bouncing back off a loss this year. Tonight they are starting a better pitcher with a better record and they outrank Houston in almost every statistical category, including scoring on average 4.8 runs per game compared to Houston's 4.0. Pomeranz has a 2.91 ERA vs Peacock at 5.3. On top of that Pomeranz is even better on the road at 1.65 ERA and Peacock has been ice cold recently with a 6.98 ERA in August. He did get a win in his last outing vs Cleveland, but I don't see him backing it up with another one tonight vs an Oakland team in the running for 1st in the AL. Lets Get It Rob Email: Tue, Aug 26, 2014 at 2:22 PM 8/26/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Baseball 916 Toronto Blue Jays* -1½ +145 vs Boston Red Sox R De La Rosa - R Listed R Dickey - R Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 1.45 (Loss) Toronto needs this win badly and I like them to bounce back vs a struggling Boston team. Toronto is also starting RA Dickey who dominated Boston last time they played, where the Jays won 14-1. Toronto is 5.5 games out of a playoff spot at the moment and the buzz around the city is that they need to get a big win tonight. I cant justify make a play on the ML as the odds are terrible at -145 but its worth backing them for a unit on the Run line at home. 8/26/2014 10:10 PM Reduced Baseball 928 Seattle Mariners* -1½ +115 vs Texas Rangers N Martinez - R Listed J Paxton - L Listed Risking 2.00 To Win 2.30 (WINNER) This matchup clearly favors the Mariners. They dropped one last night but I am still confident that they have the far better team and will bounce back strong today. The trend is still by far in our favor to get a 2 run or more win tonight. Especially with a lopsided pitching matcup like Martinez 5.13 vs Paxton 2.20. Looking at their recent performance its even worse, Martinez is 5.32 in August vs Paxton at 2.18 ERA. I really don't see the Mariners having two off days in a row. Make the come back play on the run line here tonight. Lets Get It Rob Email: Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 9:43 AM 8/25/2014 7:05 PM MLB Baseball 960 Baltimore Orioles* -116 vs Tampa Bay Rays J Odorizzi - R Listed C Tillman - R Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 0.86 (WINNER) 8/25/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Baseball 960 Baltimore Orioles* -1½ +170 vs Tampa Bay Rays J Odorizzi - R Listed C Tillman - R Listed Risking 0.50 To Win 0.85 (WINNER) I have to side with the Orioles here. Tillman has been just unreal lately. His ERA in August is down at 1.57 and has a WHIP of 0.63. The main reason I am siding with the Os is the pitching, Odorizzi is good but fairly inconsistent. He is also almost a full run worse on the road where he is up at 4.74 for the year. Go with a full unit on the Os and a half unit on the run line. 8/25/2014 10:10 PM Reduced Baseball 968 Seattle Mariners* -1½ +135 vs Texas Rangers M Mikolas - R Listed E Elias - L Listed Risking 1.50 To Win 1.95 (Loss) 8/25/2014 10:10 PM MLB Baseball 968 Seattle Mariners* -2½ +235 vs Texas Rangers M Mikolas - R Listed E Elias - L Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 2.35 (Loss) I am going with a fairly aggressive play on the Mariners tonight as this one looks like a big mismatch to me. The Mariners are just on fire when it comes to covering run lines, since the AS break 16 of their 18 wins have been by 2 or more runs and the Rangers are giving up multi run wins all over the place. Ronny Elias comes into this game with an ERA at 4.09, but when you look at his recent performance it's much better. He hasn't allowed more than 2 runs in 5 straight stats and his ERA for August is down at 2.35, and even lower if we look back to the last 2 games in July. Mikolas comes into this game with the Rangers losing all 5 of his last 5 starts and 9 of his last 10 starts! He has an ERA at 7.48 and has allowed 23 Earned runs over his last 5 starts totaling only 27.2 innings of work. Given how hot the mariners have been recently they should eat this up. 8/25/2014 8:10 PM Reduced Baseball 965 New York Yankees/Kansas City Royals* Under 7½ -110 M Pineda - R Listed J Shields - R Listed Risking 1.50 To Win 1.36 (Loss) Michael Pineda pitched 2 very solid games, since his return from injury, despite the bullpen letting him down both times, which I have to imagine they will correct tonight should it come into play. On the other side Shields has been very solid coming into this game at ERA 3.28 and the Royals are riding a streak of 4 straight wins with him starting. I have to play the percentages here and go with under 7 ½ as both of these pitchers have been holding teams to very low numbers and I expect this to be a hard fought pitching duel. Lets Get It Rob Email 1: Sun, Aug 24, 2014 at 9:28 AM 8/24/2014 1:05 PM MLB Baseball 919 Chicago White Sox* -125 vs New York Yankees for 1st 5 Innings C Sale - L Listed C Capuano - L Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 0.80 (WINNER) This one is based on how good Sale is and how well the Sox have played the Yankees thus far this series. They have actually been tied after 5 in both games thus far, and I think with their Ace on the mound the should be able to get the lead by 5 today. Note I don't trust the White Sox closers against the Yankees so I am just doing 1 unit on the 5 inning line. Email 2: Sun, Aug 24, 2014 at 9:43 AM 8/24/2014 3:05 PM Reduced Baseball 925 Kansas City Royals* -1½ +110 vs Texas Rangers J Vargas - L Listed S Baker - R Listed Risking 2.00 To Win 2.20 (Loss) I don't think this comes as much of a surprise. We are going with the Royals again today. They have cashed each of our plays thus far this week and they are absolutely on fire. This is the time of the year when the good teams close a series like this out and go for the finish. Vargas is a better pitcher than Baker, and after watching yesterday's game, Texas' defense is in shambles. 8/24/2014 2:10 PM Reduced Baseball 923 Detroit Tigers* -1½ +120 vs Minnesota Twins M Scherzer - R Listed K Gibson - R Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 1.20 (WINNER) The Twins were all over the Tigers earlier in this series, but when you look at the starting pitchers its not really a big surprise. The Tigers didn't exactly have their aces on the mound, but they do tonight with Max Scherzer who comes into this game at 14-4 3.07 ERA he has only 1 loss in his last 10 starts and the Tigers have won 6 of those 10 by 2 or more runs. The Tigers will be gunning to get a split in this series to avoid losing any more ground to KC who is on fire right now. Minnesota hands the ball to Gibson who is 11-9 on the year ERA 4.13. I think Detroit has the motivation factor going for them today and I like them to carry yesterday's momentum into today and get a big multi-run win. 8/24/2014 4:00 PM Reduced Football 279 San Diego Chargers* +210 vs San Francisco 49ers Risking 1.00 To Win 2.15 (LOSS) One preseason NFL pick. I have to go with the value play here with San Diego vs a San Fran team that has averaged 1.5 points per game in their first 2 preseason games lol. San Diego looked solid and I just cant ignore 2.15 to 1 odds on a team that appear to have their shit together vs a sloppy looking San Fran team. Lets Get It Rob Email 1: Sat, Aug 23, 2014 at 9:07 AM 8/23/2014 1:05 PM MLB Baseball 965 Tampa Bay Rays* -107 vs Toronto Blue Jays for 1st 5 Innings J Hellickson - R Listed M Buehrle - L Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 0.93 (Loss) 8/23/2014 1:05 PM MLB Baseball 965 Tampa Bay Rays* -1½ +150 vs Toronto Blue Jays J Hellickson - R Listed M Buehrle - L Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 1.50 (Loss) Buehrle went from the best pitcher in the MLB early this season to one of the worst. For August he is currently sitting at a 6.39 ERA with a 2.29 WHIP. He has only won 1 of his last 11 starts, although the Jays have been helping him out with some come from behind wins. For this reason I am going with the 5 inning line for the Rays. I am also taking the Rays for the game as they have been deadly on the road. They are 4-1 over their last 5 road games, and they are up against the Jays who are 2-7 since getting 2 extra inning wins over Detroit a few weeks ago. Over the last 9 games all of the Jays losses have been by 2 or more runs, and they are allowing a league worst 4.7 runs per game in August. Take the Rays 1st half for 1 unit and put another unit on the Run line. Email 2: Sat, Aug 23, 2014 at 10:04 AM 8/23/2014 8:05 PM Reduced Baseball 977 Kansas City Royals* -1½ +140 vs Texas Rangers J Guthrie - R Listed N Tepesch - R Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 1.40 (WINNER) 8/23/2014 8:05 PM MLB Baseball 977 Kansas City Royals* -116 vs Texas Rangers J Guthrie - R Listed N Tepesch - R Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 0.86 (WINNER) We are coming right back with KC again today vs the struggling Rangers. KC is allowing over a full run less per game than the Rangers and the combined run differential is a whopping 1.36 on the year. KC is making a run and they have one of the best closing teams in the business. If KC can keep this one close or get the lead through 6 innings I like them to close this one out without much trouble. Go with KC to get another big win vs the struggling Rangers, ML and RL. 8/23/2014 1:35 PM Reduced Baseball 973 Seattle Mariners* -1½ +167 vs Boston Red Sox C Young - R Listed B Workman - R Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 1.67 (WINNER) I am very surprised at the value we are getting on the run line here. Boston showed last night that they really don't have the confidence to win right now, blowing a 3 run lead in the 9th inning to lose 5-3. Seattle has been cruising along outscoring their opponents by over 2 runs per game. Seattle has a better starting pitcher tonight with Young at 3.11 ERA vs Workman at 4.41. This is a great road runline value play at +167. We don't usually get payouts this high on a total the run line for games with a total of over 8. Lets Get It Rob Email: Fri, Aug 22, 2014 at 12:12 PM 8/22/2014 8:05 PM Reduced Baseball 923 Kansas City Royals* -1½ +120 vs Texas Rangers Y Ventura - R Listed C Lewis - R Listed Risking 2.00 To Win 2.40 (WINNER) KC is on fire since the All Star break. They come into this game winning 22 of their last 28. They are coming off a loss in Colorado and I like them to rebound strong tonight vs a Texas team who is the worst in the MLB at home with a home record of only 23-38. To add to the trouble Texas hands the ball to Lewis who has the worst home ERA of any pitcher in baseball at 7.29 with a home record of 2-7. 8/22/2014 7:10 PM Reduced Baseball 921 Seattle Mariners* -1½ -105 vs Boston Red Sox F Hernandez - R Listed J Kelly - R Listed Risking 1.50 To Win 1.43 (WINNER) This play is pretty straight forward. The Red Sox are struggling and they are facing one of the best pitchers in the game in Hernandez. When I look at who should win this game its clearly Seattle. And looking at Seattles track record recently, when they win, they win by 2 or more runs. They have cashed the run line in each of their last 12 wins. In fact over their last 17 games the Mariners have outscored their opponents by an incredible 46 runs. Good for an average winning margin of 2.7 runs per game. Boston on the other hand looked ice cold at the plate vs the Angels where they were outscored 18-8 over the 4 game series at Fenway park. I could see this being a 2nd straight home shutout. 8/22/2014 7:05 PM MLB Baseball 917 Chicago White Sox* +175 vs New York Yankees J Danks - L Listed S Greene - R Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 1.75 (Loss) I don't put too much weight in Chicago getting swept by Baltimore as they are one of the hottest teams in baseball right now. Tonights matchup against the Yankees could be just what they need to put that series behind them. They hand the ball to Danks, who shut the Yankees out for 8 innings back on May 24th... only to have the game blown in the 9th and 10th. He has had a few rough outtings recently but the Yankees haven't exactly been putting runs up, averaging only 2.3 per game since Aug 9th. The Yankees are starting Green who I agree should be favored, but I my math shows there is a lot of value in an underdog play on the Sox here tonight. Take the Dog at +175 for 1 unit. 8/22/2014 7:30 PM Reduced Football 255 Carolina Panthers* +230 vs New England Patriots Risking 1.00 To Win 2.30 (Loss) I am also going to take Carolina as the big dog here for 1 unit. They have an excellent pass rush and defense that could pose problems for Brady, on top of that New England is no doubt going to look to get Brady some playing time, but I can see the coaching staff pulling him after the 1st half if things aren't going well especially if he takes a sack or two. This is a classic value play, I really don't see the Pats being a 6 point favorite in a game where they may want to protect their best players. Lets Get It Rob |
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