Fri, Aug 22, 2014 at 12:12 PM
8/22/2014 8:05 PM Reduced Baseball 923 Kansas City Royals* -1½ +120 vs Texas Rangers
Y Ventura - R Listed C Lewis - R Listed
Risking 2.00 To Win 2.40 (WINNER)
KC is on fire since the All Star break. They come into this game winning 22 of their last 28. They are coming off a loss in Colorado and I like them to rebound strong tonight vs a Texas team who is the worst in the MLB at home with a home record of only 23-38. To add to the trouble Texas hands the ball to Lewis who has the worst home ERA of any pitcher in baseball at 7.29 with a home record of 2-7.
8/22/2014 7:10 PM Reduced Baseball 921 Seattle Mariners* -1½ -105 vs Boston Red Sox
F Hernandez - R Listed J Kelly - R Listed
Risking 1.50 To Win 1.43 (WINNER)
This play is pretty straight forward. The Red Sox are struggling and they are facing one of the best pitchers in the game in Hernandez. When I look at who should win this game its clearly Seattle. And looking at Seattles track record recently, when they win, they win by 2 or more runs. They have cashed the run line in each of their last 12 wins. In fact over their last 17 games the Mariners have outscored their opponents by an incredible 46 runs. Good for an average winning margin of 2.7 runs per game. Boston on the other hand looked ice cold at the plate vs the Angels where they were outscored 18-8 over the 4 game series at Fenway park. I could see this being a 2nd straight home shutout.
8/22/2014 7:05 PM MLB Baseball 917 Chicago White Sox* +175 vs New York Yankees
J Danks - L Listed S Greene - R Listed
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.75 (Loss)
I don't put too much weight in Chicago getting swept by Baltimore as they are one of the hottest teams in baseball right now. Tonights matchup against the Yankees could be just what they need to put that series behind them. They hand the ball to Danks, who shut the Yankees out for 8 innings back on May 24th... only to have the game blown in the 9th and 10th. He has had a few rough outtings recently but the Yankees haven't exactly been putting runs up, averaging only 2.3 per game since Aug 9th. The Yankees are starting Green who I agree should be favored, but I my math shows there is a lot of value in an underdog play on the Sox here tonight. Take the Dog at +175 for 1 unit.
8/22/2014 7:30 PM Reduced Football 255 Carolina Panthers* +230 vs New England Patriots
Risking 1.00 To Win 2.30 (Loss)
I am also going to take Carolina as the big dog here for 1 unit. They have an excellent pass rush and defense that could pose problems for Brady, on top of that New England is no doubt going to look to get Brady some playing time, but I can see the coaching staff pulling him after the 1st half if things aren't going well especially if he takes a sack or two. This is a classic value play, I really don't see the Pats being a 6 point favorite in a game where they may want to protect their best players.
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Author - Rob Holiday
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