Email:
Wed, Dec 31, 2014 at 9:23 AM

12/31/2014 3:05 PM Reduced Basketball 703 Miami Heat* +170  vs Indiana Pacers
Risking 2.00 To Win 3.40 (Loss)

This is a classic let down situation for the Pacers and the Heat need the win after a few bad games. Plus we are getting great value here on the ML.

12/31/2014 8:00 PM Reduced Football 253 Georgia Tech* +175  vs Mississippi State
Risking 2.00 To Win 3.50 (WINNER)

Going with another underdog play here in the bowl games. I really cant see MSST taking this game seriously after being in the playoff race for so long. I love the Jackets here on the ML. I think they will be way more focused and be prepared.

12/31/2014 4:00 PM Reduced Football 252 Arizona U* -3 +100  vs Boise State
Risking 2.00 To Win 2.00 (Loss)

Arizona has been a great team all year and they have played the much harder schedule. Boise St isn’t the same team it was a few years ago and I think this is another game the PAC 12 dominates.

Lets Get It

Rob

Email:
Tue, Dec 30, 2014 at 7:10 AM

12/30/2014 1:00 PM Reduced Basketball 524 Ohio State* -8½ -108  vs Iowa
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.85 (Loss)

This one comes down to Ohio states defensive skills. I think they will be able to shut Iowa down and make them settle for low quality 3 point shots. 

12/30/2014 3:00 PM Reduced Football 243 Notre Dame* +8 -105  vs LSU
Risking 1.00 To Win 0.95 (WINNER)
 
12/30/2014 3:00 PM Reduced Football 243 Notre Dame* +275  vs LSU
Risking 1.00 To Win 2.75 (WINNER)

This game features two teams who vastly under performed expectations this year. LSU limed through their final few games of the season, and I really dont think their offense scares anyone, which is why I think 8 points is way too much to be giving in this game. I actually like Notre Dame to win this one and finish their season on a high note. Remember the Tigers arent the same team away from Death Valley and I wouldn't be surprised if they were doing some drinking in Nash-Vegas as opposed to focusing on this game. 

Lets Get It

Rob

Email:
Sun, Dec 28, 2014 at 8:49 AM

12/29/2014 5:30 PM Reduced Football 240 Oklahoma* -4 -105  vs Clemson
Risking 4.00 To Win 3.81 (Loss)

Oklahoma is a way better team on both sides of the ball, they have a much better QB. I think this one should cover with ease.

Lock it in

Lets Get It

Rob

Email:
Sun, Dec 28, 2014 at 8:25 AM

12/28/2014 1:00 PM NFL Football 307 Indianapolis Colts* -6 -110  vs Tennessee Titans for 1st Half
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.82 (WINNER)

Neither team has anything to play for here. I expect Luck to play for the first half, get a decent lead then take the 2nd half off to avoid the chance of injury. The Titans are playing at home, so they may come back in the 2nd half against some starters, but I would be very surprised if they actually tried to win this game and compromise the #1 draft pick.

12/28/2014 1:00 PM Reduced Football 319 San Diego Chargers* +123  vs Kansas City Chiefs
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.23 (Loss)

12/28/2014 1:00 PM NFL Football 319 San Diego Chargers* -3 +165  vs Kansas City Chiefs
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.65 - Alt Spread (Loss)

This one comes down to who has the better QB, and with Alex Smith out with a lacerated spleen, and Chase Daniel getting the start for the Chiefs, I have to give the best QB to the chargers. Rivers is also a fantastic December QB and he plays well on the road. The Chargers are also riding some momentum as they got the critical OT win vs the 49ers last week, you can be sure there are some discussions of the team of destiny around the locker room, and I think they come into this one very focused on getting a big win.

12/28/2014 1:00 PM Reduced Football 324 Washington Redskins* +230  vs Dallas Cowboys
Risking 1.00 To Win 2.30 (Loss)

Taking a shot here for 1 unit as this is a nothing game to the Cowboys. I really expect there to be a ton of running, probably a low scoring game. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Redskins pulled this one out in the 2nd half if the Cowboys start to rest starters.

Email:
Sun, Dec 28, 2014 at 11:20 AM

12/28/2014 4:25 PM NFL Football 332 Denver Broncos* -9½ -110  vs Oakland Raiders for 1st Half
Risking 1.00 To Win 0.91 – First Half Bet (WINNER)

12/28/2014 4:25 PM Reduced Football 332 Denver Broncos* -14 -115  vs Oakland Raiders
Risking 1.00 To Win 0.86 Line at 5Dimes (WINNER)

12/28/2014 4:25 PM Reduced Football 332 Denver Broncos* -20 +195 vs Oakland Raiders
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.95 – Line at Bet365 (WINNER)

Making 3 plays on this game. I really expect the Broncos to dominate this one wire to wire as they will not want to leave anything to chance late in this game. Denver can secure a buy with a win here, and the Raiders are a terrible team on the road. The key thing that seems to fall apart is the Raiders O line cant pass protect on the road. Look for lots of pressure on Carr and look for Payton to put this one away early.

Lets Get It

Rob

Email:
Sat, Dec 27, 2014 at 10:14 AM

12/27/2014 4:30 PM Reduced Football 233 Penn State* +3 -110  vs Boston College
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.82 (WINNER)

This line just moved from +2.5 to +3 and its time to take it. This one should be a very very evenly matched low scoring game. I am backing Penn state as I think they matchup well against BC. Penn state has one of the best run defenses in the country, and that’s BCs only real threat. Penn State is also very motivated here as they finally have the bowl ban lifted and can play in the post season again.

12/27/2014 8:00 PM Reduced Football 235 Nebraska/USC* Over 63 -105 
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.90 (WINNER)

12/27/2014 8:00 PM Reduced Football 235 Nebraska/USC* Over 69 +175
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.75 (WINNER)

12/27/2014 8:00 PM Reduced Football 236 USC* -7 -116  vs Nebraska
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.72 Line at Pinnacle (Loss)

I love the over in this one, so I am taking it for 2 units on the Over and 1 unit on the Alternate over at 69.  Both of these teams play high scoring games, I think they are both going to come into this game motivated and given that neither team has played much defense lately, and they both seem to like getting into shootouts. I think this could be the type of game decided by a pick six or a special team’s score as both teams should be able to move the ball at will. I am going with another 2 units on USC at -7 as I also think the fact that Nebraska lost their coach will aid in the lack of focus on defense and lead to a high scoring 42-31 type game for USC.

12/27/2014 7:35 PM Reduced Basketball 507 Memphis Grizzlies* -2½ -102  vs Miami Heat
Risking 3.00 To Win 2.94 (WINNER)

This has all the makings of a classic let down game for Miami, they just got the big win over the Cavs 2 days ago, now they are facing one of the best teams in the NBA. Memphis has a great road game because they play solid defense, yes they are coming off a loss last night in Houston, but it was a very close game losing in OT. I think they bounce back today and get the W over Miami.

Lets Get It

Rob

Email:
Fri, Dec 26, 2014 at 7:31 AM

12/26/2014 8:00 PM Reduced Football 225 North Carolina State/Central Florida* Over 48½ -105 
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.90 (WINNER)

Going with the Over in this one, both teams have enough talent to put up points. I have this one in the low 50s at least. I think we are getting great value at 48.5. Yes both teams play some solid defense, but teams tend to pull out some additional stops in bowl games which usually leads to either an extra possession because of a quick score or a turnover. I just think a total under 50 is too low for these two.

12/26/2014 10:05 PM Reduced Basketball 820 Portland Trail Blazers* -14 -105  vs Philadelphia 76ers
Risking 1.50 To Win 1.43 (WINNER)

12/26/2014 10:05 PM Reduced Basketball 820 Portland Trail Blazers* -21 +250  vs Philadelphia 76ers
Risking 0.50 To Win 1.25 – Alternate Spread at Bet365 (Push)

This one has blowout written all over it. Philly is traveling out west the day after Christmas, I can't imagine how they will get up for this game. Portland beat them by 10 in Philly, I think they win by 15 easy in this one and probably win by over 21. I can see them pouring it on here for the holiday season home crowed, and I could see a long road trip slowing Philly down.

Lets Get It

Rob

Email:
Tue, Dec 23, 2014 at 7:04 AM

12/23/2014 6:00 PM College Football 213 Northern Illinois* +10 -110  vs Marshall
Risking 1.50 To Win 1.37 (Loss)

12/23/2014 6:00 PM Reduced Football 213 Northern Illinois* +310  vs Marshall
Risking 0.50 To Win 1.55 (Loss)

This is a great situational play for NIU, they are peaking right now as they have been on a serious roll to end the season. They are up against a powerhouse in Marshall, who as far as I can tell, doesn’t look to motivated to send the season on a high note, after blowing their chance at a perfect season to Western Kentucky in OT. They nearly lost the Conference USA Championship to Louisiana Tech, but got it done 26-23 against a team they should have dominated. I think NIU has all the momentum and the motivation to get this done. This is one of those bowl games I think could end up being a big upset win for the underdog.

Lets Get It

Rob

Email:
Mon, Dec 22, 2014 at 6:28 AM

12/22/2014 2:00 PM Reduced Football 212 Memphis* -2 -105  vs BYU
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.90 (WINNER)

12/22/2014 2:00 PM Reduced Football 211 BYU/Memphis* Under 56 -102 
Risking 1.00 To Win 0.98 (Loss)

We have an early bowl game on today, starting at 2PM EST. I am taking the Memphis Tigers over BYU. For me this one comes down to who has the healthier team, and its clearly Memphis.

BYU has been just decimated with injuries this year, losing their starting QB Taysom Hill back in October and their starting running back Jamaal Williams in November. They managed to recover and end the season on a 4 game win streak as replacement QB Christian Stewart did a solid backup job to close out the season.

Looking at Memphis, they come into this game on a 6 game win streak. QB Paxton Lynch has been a consistent dual-threat, throwing for 18 TDs and adding another 10 rushing. To complement the offense, the D has been very solid down the stretch, they area allowing only 17.1 points per game and they only allowed 20 points to USF and Tulsa over their final 6 games of the season, the rest were stuck at 13 or less.

This game should feature some strong defense, BYU will match up well against the Memphis run, so I expect a few big plays to be the deciding factor in this one. Memphis just has more options on offense and I think it will make the difference and lead them to a 27-16 type win in this one. Play Memphis and lean on the under. 

Email:
Mon, Dec 22, 2014 at 2:13 PM

12/22/2014 8:30 PM Reduced Football 131 Denver Broncos* -3 -110 vs Cincinnati Bengals
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.82 (Loss)

I was going to pass on this one but with the line down to -3 I think its worth a play now. There has been all kinds of talk about Payton Manning not being healthy or what he was at the beginning of the year. I dont buy it. I think he was under the weather for a week, and should be just find now. I will also take Manning over Dalton any day of the week. Lay the short line on the Broncos to get the win on the road and maintain control of their playoff destiny.

Lets Get It

Rob

Email:
Sun, Dec 21, 2014 at 8:18 AM

12/21/2014 1:00 PM NFL Football 111 Detroit Lions* -6 -102  vs Chicago Bears for 1st Half
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.96 (Loss)

This is a system we have been riding all year long. Going against the Bears in the 1st half in games where they are playing against a solid passing game. I like the Lions to have a solid lead in this one by half as they should have little trouble shredding the Bears secondary.

12/21/2014 4:25 PM Reduced Football 128 Dallas Cowboys* -3 -115  vs Indianapolis Colts
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.74 (WINNER)

This game matters for the Cowboys, but it doesn’t really matter for the Colts. Yes they have an outside shot at getting home field advantage, but they need a lot of help from New England, which isn’t likely. The Cowboys on the other hand need to keep winning to hold onto their playoff spot. Ill lay the 3 points and take the boys. 

12/21/2014 1:00 PM Reduced Football 107 Minnesota Vikings* +175  vs Miami Dolphins
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.75 (Loss)

Making a small underdog play on the Vikings, They are a very good team on the road as we saw last week when they nearly beat Detroit. If they can avoid the costly turnovers I give them a great shot at winning this game. They match up well on defence and should be able to put up some points. There is also a lot of sharp action coming in on the Vikings, as we have seen the Line drop all the way from about 6 down to 3.5. 

Lets Get It

Rob

12/20/2014 3:30 PM Reduced Football 205 Utah* -2½ -110  vs Colorado State
Risking 3.00 To Win 2.73 (WINNER)

This one comes down to who has had the better strength of schedule and it hands down goes to Utah. I also love going against teams who lost their head coach, I really dont see Colorado state being as prepared or ready to face the Utah defense in this one. Lay the 2.5 on the Utes.

Lets Get It

Rob