Email: Fri, Dec 19, 2014 at 1:15 PM 12/19/2014 7:35 PM Reduced Hockey 5 Anaheim Ducks* -102 vs Ottawa Senators Risking 2.00 To Win 1.96 (Loss) Any time we can get the number one team in the NHL at about even money it’s a pretty good bet. Tonight they are facing the Senators who have been average this year. They have a losing record at home while the Ducks are 12-4-2 on the road this year. 12/19/2014 7:00 PM Reduced Basketball 823 Northern Illinois* +235 vs Dartmouth Risking 1.00 To Win 2.35 (Loss) Taking an underdog play with NIU tonight. They play well on the road and I think they have a great shot of getting a W tonight. Lets Get It Rob
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Email: Thu, Dec 18, 2014 at 1:24 PM 12/18/2014 8:25 PM Reduced Football 102 Jacksonville Jaguars* -3½ -108 vs Tennessee Titans Risking 2.00 To Win 1.85 (WINNER) The worst team in the NFL is officially no longer the Oakland Raiders, it is now the Tennessee Titans. This is one of those situations where there is absolutely no reason for the Titans to show up in this game. They are effectively playing for draft picks for next year as their season is done, and the best thing the franchise can do is lose the rest of the games this year. Jacksonville has shown that they have pride and want to close out this year on a strong note, they pulled out all of the stops last week vs Baltimore to get a cover, and this is basically their superbowl as it is a prime time game where they have a legitimate shot of winning. I would have put some money on the alternate spread at -7 in this game too, but I really don’t trust Jacksonville to avoid turnovers and Tennessee does have a decent defense that could allow them to keep this under a double digit win. Lets Get It Rob Email: Wed, Dec 17, 2014 at 1:28 PM 12/17/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Basketball 702 Cleveland Cavaliers* -5 -110 vs Atlanta Hawks Risking 1.50 To Win 1.37 (Loss) We won a play on Atlanta a couple days ago, and I am going against them now on the road. They are a much better home team. 12/17/2014 7:35 PM Reduced Basketball 706 Miami Heat* -4 -105 vs Utah Jazz Risking 1.00 To Win 0.95 (Loss) Both of these teams played last night, so again ill take the short number on the home team with the better record. Lets Get It Rob Email: Tue, Dec 16, 2014 at 1:52 PM 12/16/2014 9:05 PM Reduced Hockey 70 Arizona Coyotes* -149 vs Edmonton Oilers Risking 1.00 To Win 0.67 (WINNER) 12/16/2014 9:05 PM Reduced Hockey 70 Arizona Coyotes* -1½ +189 vs Edmonton Oilers Risking 0.50 To Win 0.95 (Loss) Edmonton is in a free fall. They just fired their coach and now they are going on the road. Yes they are up against an Arizona team that has also been losing badly as of late, but Edmonton just isn’t putting out the effort to win. There are some serious problems in the locker room and I think we will be fading them for a while to come. Rumor has it that many of the players just hate living in Edmonton, and I cant blame them with the sub zero winters and serious lack of sunlight in that part of Canada. Take Arizona as I like fading teams in the midst of major turmoil. 12/16/2014 8:05 PM Reduced Basketball 510 Memphis Grizzlies* -2½ -109 vs Golden State Warriors Risking 1.50 To Win 1.38 (WINNER) Golden state has been on a serious run, but now they have to go to Memphis where the Griz are 11-1. Memphis is also on 3 days rest, so they have had lots of time to prepare. Take the short number on the home team. Lets Get It Rob Email: Mon, Dec 15, 2014 at 10:19 AM 12/15/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Hockey 1 New Jersey Devils/New York Islanders* Over 5½ +120 Risking 1.00 To Win 1.20 (Loss) I have been following the Devils on the road for a while now and we have enough data that it now represents a trend. They seem to be one of those teams that plays better away from home. They have higher scoring games on the road with totals averaging almost a full goal more per game. New York is averaging 6.14 in totals at home this season and they have been scoring 3.57 goals per game. We are getting good odds at +120 on the over 5.5 here. 12/15/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Hockey 3 Tampa Bay Lightning/Pittsburgh Penguins* Over 5½ +108 Risking 1.00 To Win 1.08 (WINNER) These are two of the highest scoring teams in the NHL. Yes Pittsburgh is without Crosby, but they still have tons of talent to make up for it. Pittsburgh is averaging 5.6 goals per game at home and Tampa is averaging 5.5 on the road. 7 of the last 8 times these two have played the total has gone over 5.5 with 6 of those games reaching 7 or more goals. Play the over. 12/15/2014 7:35 PM Reduced Basketball 710 Atlanta Hawks* -2½ -102 vs Chicago Bulls Risking 1.00 To Win 0.98 (WINNER) Atlanta is a great home team, Chicago played yesterday in Miami, they got a big win, I like the short number on the home team with the rest. Lets Get It Rob Email: Sun, Dec 14, 2014 at 7:10 AM 12/14/2014 4:25 PM Reduced Football 324 Detroit Lions* -8½ -103 vs Minnesota Vikings Risking 2.00 To Win 1.94 (Loss) Detroit is finally healthy and I expect Megatron to shred this Vikings secondary. They haven’t shown me they can win against good teams on the road, and Detroit needs to keep winning to make the playoffs. 12/14/2014 1:00 PM Reduced Football 316 New England Patriots* -9½ -105 vs Miami Dolphins Risking 1.00 To Win 0.95 (WINNER) This is a revenge game as New England lost to Miami at the beginning of the season. They also lost 2 games ago in Green Bay, and one of my favorite bets is Brady in December. We lost a bit of value as this line already climbed up from 7.5 to 9.5, but that’s less than 3% of games so this is still a good number under 10. I don’t think Miami will travel well and I think the Pats will come in focused for a big game at home. – Note this would be a 2 unit play, but I am using New England in the Teaser below with Seattle. If you don’t make the teaser play then this is a 2 unit play. Teaser - ties win - NFL sides 6 pts (-115) Wager – This Teaser is offered at 5Dimes, make sure you get the ties win with Jacksonville at +21 12/14/2014 1:00 PM NFL Football 305 Oakland Raiders* +18½ vs Kansas City Chiefs 12/14/2014 1:00 PM NFL Football 307 Jacksonville Jaguars* +21 vs Baltimore Ravens Risking 2.00 To Win 1.74 (WINNER) Teaser - ties reduce - NFL sides 7 Points (-130) Wager 12/14/2014 1:00 PM NFL Football 316 New England Patriots* -2 vs Miami Dolphins 12/14/2014 4:25 PM NFL Football 330 Seattle Seahawks* -2½ vs San Francisco 49ers Risking 2.00 To Win 1.54 (WINNER) Lets Get It Rob Email: Sat, Dec 13, 2014 at 9:08 AM 12/13/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Hockey 11 Florida Panthers/Buffalo Sabres* Under 5 -108 Risking 2.00 To Win 1.85 (Loss) This is a great match up for anyone who follows NHL stats. The second worst team in the NHL for scoring is the Florida Panthers with a total of only 59 goals for the year, and the only team worse, you guessed it, Buffalo with only 48 goals this year. I actually have to give the edge to Florida to win this game as they have a lower Goals against, but I don’t expect much out of either team tonight. Play the under. 12/13/2014 7:05 PM NHL Hockey 8 Toronto Maple Leafs* -1½ +270 vs Detroit Red Wings Risking 1.00 To Win 2.70 (WINNER) 12/13/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Hockey 7 Detroit Red Wings/Toronto Maple Leafs* Over 5½ -103 Risking 1.00 To Win 0.97 (Loss) Dare I say that the Toronto Maple Leafs actually resemble a decent team? They are scoring goals at a torrid pace, they have hit the 4 goal mark in 6 of their last 9 games and they are currently the 2nd highest scoring team in the NHL with 94 goals scored. Detroit is close behind with 90 goals scored, these two played a few days ago to a 2-1 draw. I expect the tempo to be much faster in Toronto as the Leafs are a skating team at home. Digging into the numbers a bit, Toronto actually has 63 goals for at home, twice as many as on the road, play the over and Leafs -1.5. NCAAB 12/13/2014 2:00 PM Reduced Basketball 529 St. Bonaventure* +8½ -107 vs Pittsburgh Risking 1.00 To Win 0.93 (WINNER) 12/13/2014 2:00 PM Reduced Basketball 529 St. Bonaventure* +350 vs Pittsburgh Risking 0.50 To Win 1.75 (Loss) 12/13/2014 8:30 PM Reduced Basketball 572 California* -10½ -105 vs Princeton Risking 1.00 To Win 0.95 (Loss) Lets Get It Rob Email: Fri, Dec 12, 2014 at 1:24 PM 12/12/2014 7:05 PM NHL Hockey 52 Pittsburgh Penguins* -½ +150 vs Calgary Flames for 1st Period Risking 1.00 To Win 1.50 (WINNER) This is a situational and stats play. The Penguins are the 2nd best team in the league in the 1st period the Flames are the 5th worst. The Flames have scored a total of 16 first period goals this year while the Penguins have scored 35. The Penguins are also in a spot where I am sure they will want to get a W. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and they are facing a Flames team that is in the middle of a 4 game road trip where they have already lost 2 straight. The Flames are a 2nd and 3rd period team, so I wouldn't be surprised if they fell behind then caught up in the 2nd, but at +150 ill take a shot with the much better team. FYI we should have some more plays for tomorrow with NCAAB, just haven't really liked much yesterday or today. Lets Get It Rob Email: Thu, Dec 11, 2014 at 11:12 AM 12/11/2014 8:05 PM Reduced Basketball 701 Cleveland Cavaliers* +170 vs Oklahoma City Thunder Risking 1.00 To Win 1.70 (Loss) Going with Cleveland today - this is a road underdog system play. We are getting a team with a better record as an underdog. Yes OKC has Durant and Westbrook back, but I still think this is about a 50-50 game, which I will take all day long at +170 lets get it Rob Email: Wed, Dec 10, 2014 at 6:25 AM 12/10/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Basketball 501 Los Angeles Clippers* -6½ -105 vs Indiana Pacers Risking 1.00 To Win 0.95 (WINNER) 12/10/2014 11:00 PM Reduced Basketball 545 Wyoming* +4 -110 vs California Risking 1.00 To Win 0.91 (WINNER) Email: Wed, Dec 10, 2014 at 2:28 PM 12/10/2014 8:05 PM Reduced Hockey 51 Toronto Maple Leafs* +178 vs Detroit Red Wings Risking 1.00 To Win 1.78 (WINNER) This is a solid underdog system play - the Leafs have basically the same record as Detroit There is no reason they should be getting this much respect from the books Lets Get It Rob |
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