Email:
Fri, Sep 26, 2014 at 12:27 PM

9/26/2014 7:10 PM MLB Baseball 957 Pittsburgh Pirates* -136  vs Cincinnati Reds
V Worley - R Listed   M Leake - R Listed
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.47 (WINNER)

The Pirates have been one of the hottest teams in baseball for the month of September, going 16-4 since September 5th. They currently sit one game back of St Louis for the NL Central. You can bet that they will treat this just like a wild card game, as they try to avoid the dreaded 1 game playoff. They are starting Worley who has been virtually unhittable in September, the Pirates have won his last 4 starts, and he comes into this game with a September ERA of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.08. He is coming off 8 innings of shutout baseball vs Milwaukee on the 21st and I like him to have another quality start today. 

The Reds know their season is done, and Leake seems to have packed it in too. His September numbers are awful, for the month thus far he has pitched 21 innings, allowed 29 Hits and 19 runs, his WHIP is 1.68 and his Sept ERA is 7.71. 

The Pirates have been putting up runs, as evident in last night's 10-1 win over the Braves, they have won 8 of their last 10 including 2 quality wins over Milwaukee, they have worked hard to have a shot at the Division lead and will be motivated and focused tonight. I like them to get the win vs a Reds team that seems to have packed it in. 

Play the Pirates. 

Lets Get It

Rob

Email:
Wed, Sep 24, 2014 at 11:03 AM

9/24/2014 10:10 PM Reduced Baseball 964 Los Angeles Dodgers* -1½ +100  vs San Francisco Giants
T Hudson - R Listed   C Kershaw - L Listed
Risking 1.50 To Win 1.50 (WINNER)

This is closing time, and I am putting my money on the best pitcher in baseball. There are a few reasons I like this play today. First, Kershaw didn't have his best stuff in the first inning of his last outing; he RARELY has back to back bad games, meaning he will be focused and ready tonight. Second, this is his opportunity to match his 2011 record of 21 wins, when guys like Kershaw get a chance to match a personal best they usually succeed. Third, the Dodgers have a chance to win their second straight National League West title tonight, and there isn't another guy on that team I would rather have on the mound to do it. Good pitchers only get better in September and October.

Looking at the other side, San Fran is starting Tim Hudson, who has been battling a hip injury, and has lost 3 straight starts. This includes the 17-0 slaughtering at the hands of the Dodgers where he was charged for 6 runs and only lasted 1 inning a couple weeks ago. If Hudson were healthy I could see him giving it his all, and keeping this one close, but with a motivated Kershaw, and a struggling San Fran team and aging, injured pitcher. I could go on about the way the stats and situation line up for the Dodgers to get a multi run win here tonight but I think you get the idea. I see the Dodgers rolling this one and locking things up in front of the home fans.

Lets Get It

Rob

Email:
Tue, Sep 23, 2014 at 10:11 AM

9/23/2014 7:10 PM Reduced Baseball 905 Milwaukee Brewers/Cincinnati Reds* Under 6½ -120 
M Fiers - R Listed   J Cueto - R Listed
Risking 1.50 To Win 1.25 (WINNER)

9/23/2014 7:10 PM Reduced Baseball 905 Milwaukee Brewers/Cincinnati Reds* Under 5 +190 
M Fiers - R Listed   J Cueto - R Listed
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.90 (WINNER)

I am splitting the bet here. I like this to be a very defensive and low scoring game, could very well be a 1-0 or 2-1 game with these two pitchers facing off. Both Fiers and Cueto have been lights out this year and should look to close out the season strong. Both teams are basically eliminated, but I could see the Brewers wanting to put on a strong showing to keep their slim hopes alive for another day. Neither team has been prolific at the plate this year, the Reds are averaging 3.7 runs per game, Brewers are better at 4.1. Looking at recent stats, the Reds have scored 13 runs over their past 4 games for an average of only 2.6, and 7 of those came in 1 game vs St. Louis, they are really averaging more like 1 or 2 runs per game, and against a pitcher like Fiers I thing that should hold tonight. The Brewers have had 5 straight  go under the total and they have scored a total of only 5 runs over those games, while being shut out twice. This one looks like a pitcher's duel through and through. Make a strong play on the under.

Note: You can get the under 5 line at Bet365. If you can't get it on your book just stick with a 2.5 unit bet on the under 6.5.
 Lets Get It

Rob

Email:
Mon, Sep 22, 2014 at 12:19 PM

9/22/2014 8:05 PM Reduced Baseball 953 St. Louis Cardinals* -1½ -110  vs Chicago Cubs
A Wainwright - R Listed   T Wood - L Listed
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.82 (WINNER)

This one should be pretty straight forward, we are coming right back with the Cardinals, after last nights loss they will look to get back in the win column, they shouldn't have to deal with using more than one closer tonight, if any, as Wainwritght usually goes the distance. Wainwright is also clutch down the stretch, the Cards have won his last 4 starts, and covered the run line in each of them. He is actually even better on the road this year where his ERA drops from 2.45 to 1.82 with a WHIP of 0.99. The Cubs are starting Wood who comes into this game 4.82 ERA (4.27 at Home) he faced St Louis a few games ago and got beat up pretty bad only lasting 4.2 inning and giving up 4 runs on 5 hits on route to a 6-9 loss. 

Lock it in

Let's Get It

Rob

Email:
Fri, Sep 19, 2014 at 12:29 PM

9/19/2014 8:10 PM MLB Baseball 923 Detroit Tigers* +104  vs Kansas City Royals
J Verlander - R Listed   J Vargas - L Listed
Risking 1.50 To Win 1.56 (WINNER)

9/19/2014 8:10 PM MLB Baseball 923 Detroit Tigers* -1½ +160  vs Kansas City Royals
J Verlander - R Listed   J Vargas - L Listed
Risking 0.50 To Win 0.80 (WINNER)

There are a select few pitchers in the MLB that have an extra gear for when things really matter. Justin Verlanders is one of those guys and this is one of those games. The Tigers currently sit a half game up on the Royals for the battle in 1st in the AL Central. They need to win this series and it will surely be a battle from the beginning. Verlander hasn't had great stats this year, but when you look at how he performs in the playoffs he is an absolute Ace. Look at last year in the playoffs, he started 2 games and only allowed 1 run. He seems to be a bit like one of those NBA players who coasts all year long winning enough to get into the playoffs then ramps it up. This is basically a playoff game and I really like him to bring his A game tonight. 

Email:
Mon, Sep 15, 2014 at 8:51 AM

9/15/2014 8:10 PM Reduced Baseball 917 Detroit Tigers* -1½ -108  vs Minnesota Twins
M Scherzer - R Listed   A Swarzak - R Listed
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.85 (WINNER)

Just one play in MLB today. I am going with the Tigers on the Run line. They need this win to keep pace with the Royals, they are up against the Twins who have shown they aren't really up for competing anymore this year, they come into this game with just a 2-8 record over their last 10 games. The Tigers have won 7 of their last 10 and hand the ball to Max Scherzer who will be looking to finish the season off strong to get a big contract this coming off season. The bottom line here is the Tigers need to win this kind of game and I expect them to roll the Twins.

Lets Get It

Rob

Email:
Wed, Sep 3, 2014 at 2:05 PM

9/3/2014 8:10 PM Reduced Baseball 925 Chicago White Sox/Minnesota Twins* Over 9 -110 
J Danks - L Listed   T May - R Listed
Risking 1.00 To Win 0.91 (WINNER)

Both of these teams are starting fairly weak pitchers tonight, and both teams have been getting themselves into shootouts. 

The Twins games have averaged 10.8 runs per game over the last 5 and Chicago is right behind at 9.2. 

With Danks and May starting i expect this one to have some fire works too. 

Take the over. 

Lets Get It

Rob

Email:
Fri, Aug 29, 2014 at 1:58 PM

8/29/2014 10:30 PM Reduced Football 154 Arizona U* -23½ +100  vs UNLV
Risking 2.00 To Win 2.00 (WINNER)

This one comes down to a couple of factors. First off Arizona was a very good team last year, and they have a lot of returning starters. Arizona had a fantastic finish to their year last year with wins over #5 Oregon and they are up against a UNLV team that has a long history of terrible road performances ATS. Arizona should roll this game tonight, Lay the points and go Wildcats. 

I am going with BYU -15.5 over UConn for 1 unit (WINNER)

Lets Get It

Rob

Email:
Thu, Aug 21, 2014 at 10:29 AM

8/21/2014 7:10 PM MLB Baseball 965 Los Angeles Angels* -123  vs Boston Red Sox
M Shoemaker - R Listed   R De La Rosa - R Listed
Risking 1.00 To Win 0.81 (WINNER)

8/21/2014 7:10 PM Reduced Baseball 965 Los Angeles Angels* -1½ +140  vs Boston Red Sox
M Shoemaker - R Listed   R De La Rosa - R Listed
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.40 (WINNER)


This is one of those games in sports where a team is likely going to step up and play a game with added motivation. The Angels lost Richards to a gruesome knee injury in the 2nd inning last night. I am willing to bet that Manager Mike Scioscia is going to use the injury as extra motivation to keep his team focused and get a big win for Garret tonight. 

To add to the motivation factor the Angels are clearly a more dominant team and Boston is struggling at home right now. They are 3-7 for the month of August at home and they haven't looked good at the plate all series long vs the Angels.

The pitching matchup is pretty even with Shoemaker ERA 3.84 and De La Rosa at 3.79, the big difference here is the
motivation factor that the Angels will have to get the win for Richards. 

Lets Get It

Rob

Email:
Wed, Aug 20, 2014 at 11:52 AM

8/20/2014 7:10 PM MLB Baseball 915 Los Angeles Angels* -136  vs Boston Red Sox for 1st 5 Innings 
G Richards - R Listed   C Buchholz - R Listed
Risking 2.00 To Win 1.47 (WINNER)

8/20/2014 7:10 PM Reduced Baseball 915 Los Angeles Angels* -1½ +120  vs Boston Red Sox
G Richards - R Listed   C Buchholz- R Listed
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.20 (WINNER)

The Red Sox have lost 5 in a row with Clay Bucholz starting, he is struggling with a 5.79 ERA and he is up against one of the best in the business tonight in Garrett Richards. Richards is pitching to a 2.52 ERA.  The Angels have won all 3 of Richards starts in August and he looks like the type of guy to perform well down the stretch. The huge ERA gap should give the Angels ample opportunity to get a lead by the 5 inning mark Especially with Trout hitting .444 at Fenway park, and I am going with an additional unit for the defense to clean things up and hold on for a multi run win tonight.

Lets Get It

Rob