Email: Tue, Aug 12, 2014 at 11:32 AM 8/12/2014 7:10 PM Reduced Baseball 903 Washington Nationals* -1½ +120 vs New York Mets D Fister - R Listed R Montero - R Listed Risking 2.50 To Win 3.00 (WINNER) This one should be a fairly straight forward game for Washington. They are starting one of their Aces in Doug Fister who comes into this game at 11-3 on the year ERA at 2.49 and WHIP at 1.07. He is fresh off a 7-1 win over the Mets last outing where he pitched 7.1 innings of 1 run ball. The Nationals have won 5 of his last 6 starts, and they have won 4 of them by 2 or more runs. The one loss was a 1-2 loss to Philly. Fister's ERA is down at 1.97 over his last 6 games. The Mets are starting Montero who they recalled in place of Degrom. So far Montero hasn't looked good in his 4 starts earlier this season. He has a 5.40 ERA. Reading the reviews I expect the problem with Montero will be pitch control and walks which usually leads to losses. To make things more one sided the Nationals have 98 runs over 23 games since the All Star break good for 4.26 per game, compare that to the Mets at 77 over 24 games they are averaging only 3.20 per game. With a full run extra per game and a much better pitcher I expect this will be a decisive win for the Nationals. My math suggests this line should be closer to -105 or -115 on the Run line here, which means we are getting 25-35% on our money. 8/12/2014 7:05 PM MLB Baseball 923 Arizona Diamondbacks* +172 vs Cleveland Indians J Collmenter - R Listed T House - L Listed Risking 1.50 To Win 2.58 (Postponed) This is a great underdog value play, Arizona is starting Collmenter who seems to be one of their best team pitchers. Meaning they win when he starts, they have won 7 of his last 10 starts which is fantastic for a team that seems to lose as many games as Arizona. They are 13-7 behind him for the season as a starter for a ML win of +729. When we look at Arizona's performance since the All Star break they are 11-11 but have played very well, their batting average is at .261 good for 7th overall in the MLB and they have scored 100 runs in 22 games good for 4.54 runs per game which is better than Cleveland at 4.37. Arizona also bats slightly better against lefties, which should work for tonight's game vs Cleveland, starting TJ House ERA 4.13 and 1-3 on the season in games he received a decision in and Cleveland is 6-5 on the year overall in games he started in. Bottom line with this play is that in my opinion it's basically a coin flip, I would even say a 5-4 edge for Arizona, but when we look at the odds we are getting +172 this becomes an amazing value play for Arizona. Lets Get It Rob
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Email: Sat, Aug 9, 2014 at 10:54 AM 8/9/2014 9:05 PM Reduced Baseball 970 Oakland Athletics* -1½ -105 vs Minnesota Twins T May - R Listed J Samardzija - R Listed Risking 2.00 to Win 1.90 (WINNER) Today I am going with Oakland on the Run Line for 2 units. They are facing the Twins who are starting Trevor May who has been in the Minors for 7 years. I expect him to give a good showing but I don't think he will be much of a match for baseballs best team. To add to the challenge Oakland is starting Jeff Sasmardzija who has been excellent since switching to the As, leading them to wins in 5 of his 6 starts since the trade. Samardzija is limiting opponents to a .200 average and he isn't walking very many batters, which usually leads to a win when you have a team with Oaklands firepower at the plate. Since the All star break Oakland is 12-8 and they have won 10 of those games by 2 or more runs. I expect they will get number 11 tonight facing a less experienced pitcher and a Twins team that has a losing record on the road. Lets Get It Rob Email: Sat, Jul 19, 2014 at 8:45 AM I am making a rare middle play on the Mariners vs Angels game combined with an under play. 7/19/2014 9:05 PM Reduced Baseball 925 Seattle Mariners/Los Angeles Angels* Under 6½ -105 F Hernandez - R Listed G Richards - R Listed Risking 1.50 To Win 1.43 (WINNER) 7/19/2014 9:05 PM Reduced Baseball 926 Los Angeles Angels* +1½ -170 vs Seattle Mariners F Hernandez - R Listed G Richards - R Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 0.59 (WINNER) 7/19/2014 9:05 PM MLB Baseball 925 Seattle Mariners* -109 vs Los Angeles Angels F Hernandez - R Listed G Richards - R Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 0.92 (WINNER) I expect this to be a close game. Similar to the one that played out last night, so I am going with a middle play here and the Under. We have 2 of the best pitchers in the league facing off. Both teams are coming off a long late night last night where they played a 16 inning game. Hernandez ERA 2.12 and Richards 2.55 both come in to this game at 11-2 and I expect they will both want to show off their skills tonight. Even if we get a multiple run win one way or another we still reduce the risk with the hedge, but I like the value on trying to catch the middle especially with 2 teams on short rest facing outstanding pitchers. 7/19/2014 7:05 PM MLB Baseball 906 Washington Nationals* -126 vs Milwaukee Brewers M Garza - R Listed T Roark - R Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 0.79 (WINNER) 7/19/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Baseball 906 Washington Nationals* -1½ +175 vs Milwaukee Brewers M Garza - R Listed T Roark - R Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 1.75 (WINNER) This is a big market home team weekend system play, it backs teams in large markets coming off a loss that have a pitcher with a better ERA and a winning record starting. Its been a very profitable system for me the last couple years. I also like the way Washington was putting up runs going into the All Star break. Go with 1 unit on the ML and 1 unit on the RL. Lets Get It Rob Email # 1 Sent: Sun 7/13/2014 10:47 AM Subject: Sports Picker VIP Plays for 7-13-2014 - Early Games I am going to be sending out another email with the afternoon plays later today. For now I have a game I like starting at 1:05 PM 7/13/2014 1:10 PM MLB Baseball 904 Cincinnati Reds* -132 vs Pittsburgh Pirates F Liriano - L Listed J Cueto - R Listed Risking 2.00 To Win 1.52 (WINNER) 7/13/2014 1:10 PM Reduced Baseball 904 Cincinnati Reds* -1½ +160 vs Pittsburgh Pirates F Liriano - L Listed J Cueto - R Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 1.60 (WINNER) I really like this play for 3 reasons. We are going with the Reds who have been Red hot lately winning 7 of their last 10. We are getting a far better pitcher in Cueto who has won 5 of his last 7 starts (play one ND) and comes into this game at 9-6 on the year with a 2.03 ERA. We are also fading Lariano who has been terrible this year and now comes back from his Oblique injury to a very difficult task. I am taking the Reds for 2 on the ML and 1 on the RL. Lets Get It Rob Email # 2 Sent: Sun 7/13/2014 2:53 PM Subject: Sports Picker VIP Plays for 7-13-2014 7/13/2014 4:10 PM Reduced Baseball 925 Oakland Athletics/Seattle Mariners* Under 8 -105 S Gray - R Listed C Young - R Listed Risking 1.50 To Win 1.43 (WINNER) I am taking the under here today, this one looks like a pitcher's duel to me. Both Gray 9-3 ERA 2.97 and Young 8-5 ERA 3.08 have been consistently going deep into games. This is the final game in the series and the Athletics will be gunning to get salvage a win. I expect this to be a close game something in the 3-2 or 4-3 range, too close to call a winner here but I like the under. Lets Get It Rob ====================== All predictions, picks, plays, opinions or information is provided for entertainment purposes only. This information is NOT to be used to support any illegal activity or violate any federal, state or provincial law. Sports-picker.com, sportsbetlv or any other affiliate interests are not liable under any circumstances from any losses that may occur as a result of the information provided. Past results are not an indication or guarantee of future performance. My emails contain affiliate links. If you have a gambling problem please unsubscribe and please visit Gamblers Anonymous We finished off the week on a strong note going 3-0 yesterday banking another 3.73 units! I also wanted to mention that I have a referral program available. Anyone who refers a new client gets 50% of the fees earned on Monthly packages (paid after processing fees and paid out month after). If you refer 2 clients you are basically getting your picks for FREE. I am also willing to pay an extra one time bonus of $250 for anyone who refers 10 clients. Email me back for details. ==== Today I have 2 games and 3 plays on the card. 7/7/2014 7:10 PM MLB Baseball 917 Chicago White Sox* +181 vs Boston Red Sox S Carroll - R Listed C Buchholz - R Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 1.81 (WINNER) In my estimation this game should be about a coin flip. Yet we are getting amazing value on the White Sox at +170. Both teams are starting pitchers who have struggled this year. Both teams have losing records although the White Sox have a slightly better overall record at 42-47 compared to the Red Sox at 39-49. The WS are 6-4 in their last 10 the RS are 4-6. The RS have allowed 56 runs against over their last 10 games, with Buchholz starting (ERA 6.22) they are going to need to give some serious run support to win this one. We don't need to win this game 50% of the time to make a lot of money, take the Road dog here. 7/7/2014 8:15 PM Reduced Baseball 907 Pittsburgh Pirates/St. Louis Cardinals* Under 7½ -120 C Morton - R Listed A Wainwright - R Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 0.83 (WINNER) 7/7/2014 8:15 PM Reduced Baseball 908 St. Louis Cardinals* -1½ +140 vs Pittsburgh Pirates C Morton - R Listed A Wainwright - R Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 1.40 (WINNER) This play is a bit of a hedge with an opportunity to win both bets. I expect this to be a 4-1 type win for the Cardinals as Wainwright has really come into form recently winning 4 of his last 5 and not allowing more than 2 runs in any of those games. In his last 9 starts only 1 game has gone over 7 runs and he has 4 shut outs over that stretch. He enters this game with a 1.89 ERA. Morton comes in with a 3.30 ERA, he has pitched better recently, but it hasn't been against very dangerous teams at the plate. I don't normally take both the run line and the under, but I could see this being a very low scoring game so I am going with the under as a hedge against a 2-1 or 3-2 game. Lets Get It Rob VIP Client Email - Sports Picker VIP Plays for 6-25-2014 Date: June 25, 2014 at 5:49:37 AM EDT Subject: Sports Picker VIP plays for 6-25-14 FYI i am traveling again today so the picks tomorrow may be a bit early or late depending on when I can get a Wifi connection to do my research and send them out. 2 games and 3 plays on today's card 6/25/2014 8:05 PM MLB Baseball 915 Detroit Tigers* -145 vs Texas Rangers A Sanchez - R Listed J Saunders - L Listed Risking 1.50 To Win 1.03 WINNER 6/25/2014 8:05 PM Reduced Baseball 915 Detroit Tigers* -1½ +125 vs Texas Rangers A Sanchez - R Listed J Saunders - L Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 1.25 WINNER This is a road run line system play. We are getting a better team with a better record with a better starting pitcher, and a batting lineup that scores runs. Make a play on Tigers on both the ML and the Run Line. 6/25/2014 9:40 PM MLB Baseball 929 Cleveland Indians/Arizona Diamondbacks* Under 8 +100 C Kluber - R Listed C Anderson - R Listed Risking 1.00 To Win 1.00 WINNER Cleveland has struggled on the road this year going only 14-25 and Arizona has struggled at home. Both teams are starting strong pitchers, and we are getting a good over under number at 8 at even money here. Lets Get It Rob Date: June 22, 2014 at 3:26:10 PM EDT Subject: Sports picker VIP play for 6-22-2014 Sorry for the late send out here. I've been stuck on a plane for the last few hours No write up as I just want to get this pick out 6/22/2014 4:10 PM Reduced Baseball 961 San Francisco Giants* -1½ +120 vs Arizona Diamondbacks M Bumgarner - L Listed M Bolsinger Listed Risking 1.50 To Win 1.80 (WINNER) Going with San Fran again today. Let's get it Rob |
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