Sports Picker VIP Results for 8-25-2014 (2-3 for -2.29 Units)

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Mon, Aug 25, 2014 at 9:43 AM

8/25/2014 7:05 PM MLB Baseball 960 Baltimore Orioles* -116  vs Tampa Bay Rays
J Odorizzi - R Listed   C Tillman - R Listed
Risking 1.00 To Win 0.86 (WINNER)

8/25/2014 7:05 PM Reduced Baseball 960 Baltimore Orioles* -1½ +170  vs Tampa Bay Rays
J Odorizzi - R Listed   C Tillman - R Listed
Risking 0.50 To Win 0.85 (WINNER)

I have to side with the Orioles here. Tillman has been just unreal lately. His ERA in August is down at 1.57 and has a WHIP of 0.63. The main reason I am siding with the Os is the pitching, Odorizzi is good but fairly inconsistent. He is also almost a full run worse on the road where he is up at 4.74 for the year. Go with a full unit on the Os and a half unit on the run line.

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8/25/2014 10:10 PM Reduced Baseball 968 Seattle Mariners* -1½ +135  vs Texas Rangers
M Mikolas - R Listed   E Elias - L Listed
Risking 1.50 To Win 1.95 (Loss)

8/25/2014 10:10 PM MLB Baseball 968 Seattle Mariners* -2½ +235 vs Texas Rangers
M Mikolas - R Listed   E Elias - L Listed
Risking 1.00 To Win 2.35 (Loss)

I am going with a fairly aggressive play on the Mariners tonight as this one looks like a big mismatch to me. The Mariners are just on fire when it comes to covering run lines, since the AS break 16 of their 18 wins have been by 2 or more runs and the Rangers are giving up multi run wins all over the place. Ronny Elias comes into this game with an ERA at 4.09, but when you look at his recent performance it's much better. He hasn't allowed more than 2 runs in 5 straight stats and his ERA for August is down at 2.35, and even lower if we look back to the last 2 games in July.  Mikolas comes into this game with the Rangers losing all 5 of his last 5 starts and 9 of his last 10 starts! He has an ERA at 7.48 and has allowed 23 Earned runs over his last 5 starts totaling only 27.2 innings of work. Given how hot the mariners have been recently they should eat this up. 

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8/25/2014 8:10 PM Reduced Baseball 965 New York Yankees/Kansas City Royals* Under 7½ -110 
M Pineda - R Listed   J Shields - R Listed
Risking 1.50 To Win 1.36 (Loss)

Michael Pineda pitched 2 very solid games, since his return from injury, despite the bullpen letting him down both times, which I have to imagine they will correct tonight should it come into play. On the other side Shields has been very solid coming into this game at ERA 3.28 and the Royals are riding a streak of 4 straight wins with him starting. I have to play the percentages here and go with under 7 ½ as both of these pitchers have been holding teams to very low numbers and I expect this to be a hard fought pitching duel.

Lets Get It

Rob

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