Sports Picker VIP Results for 8-27-2014 (3-2 for +.60 Units)

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Wed, Aug 27, 2014 at 12:03 PM

8/27/2014 10:05 PM MLB Baseball 979 Miami Marlins* +143  vs Los Angeles Angels
H Alvarez - R Listed   H Santiago - L Listed
Risking 1.00 To Win 1.43 (Loss)

8/27/2014 10:05 PM Reduced Baseball 979 Miami Marlins/Los Angeles Angels* Under 8 -105 
H Alvarez - R Listed   H Santiago - L Listed
Risking 1.00 To Win 0.95 (WINNER)

We have a great value play here in the rubber match here. We are getting great odds on Miami tonight. They are starting their Ace Henderson Alvarez who comes into this game riding a 4 game win streak and has only lost 2 games out of his last 10 starts. Alvarez has an ERA of 2.57 which has been very consistent all year long.

The Angels counter with Santiago, who comes into this game riding a 4 game losing streak, although he hasn't pitched poorly, the Angels just haven't been able to give him much run support, which has been a trend for them since the All Star break.

The total has gone 8 or less in 7 of Santiago's last 8 starts and it has gone 7 of the last 9 with Alvarez on the mound (not counting the Colorado game for obvious reasons).  I like Miami to win a close on here tonight. 

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8/27/2014 9:40 PM Reduced Baseball 961 Los Angeles Dodgers* -1½ -125  vs Arizona Diamondbacks
C Kershaw - L Listed   W Miley - L Listed
Risking 1.50 To Win 1.20  (WINNER)

8/27/2014 9:40 PM Reduced Baseball 961 Los Angeles Dodgers/Arizona Diamondbacks* Under 7 -105 
C Kershaw - L Listed   W Miley - L Listed
Risking 1.00 To Win 0.95 (WINNER)

Kershaw will be out looking for redemption tonight after his last outing in Phoenix was a disaster where he got lit up for 7 runs over 1.2 innings. I don't see that happening again tonight as Kershaw has been lights out for opposing teams since that game.  Looking at his last 17 starts since that game vs Arizona Kershaw hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in any of them and has an Average of .157. The only way I see this game going over is if LA Blows Arizona out. So with that we are making a middle bet. Take LA -1.5 for 1.5 units and go with the Under for 1 unit. I like this to be a 4-1 or 4-0 type game. 

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8/27/2014 8:10 PM Reduced Baseball 977 Oakland Athletics* -1½ -105  vs Houston Astros
D Pomeranz - L Listed   B Peacock - R Listed
Risking 1.50 To Win 1.43 (Loss)

Oakland has made a living out of bouncing back off a loss this year. Tonight they are starting a better pitcher with a better record and they outrank Houston in almost every statistical category, including scoring on average 4.8 runs per game compared to Houston's 4.0. Pomeranz has a 2.91 ERA vs Peacock at 5.3. On top of that Pomeranz is even better on the road at 1.65 ERA and Peacock has been ice cold recently with a 6.98 ERA in August.  He did get a win in his last outing vs Cleveland, but I don't see him backing it up with another one tonight vs an Oakland team in the running for 1st in the AL.

Lets Get It

Rob

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